Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 12

The Seattle Mariners and Cal Raleigh take the field in the first game of a three-game series against Paul Goldschmidt and the New York Yankees on Monday at T-Mobile Park. The Mariners are listed as +126 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Yankees (-151). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +114 odds). An 8-run total has been listed in this matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, May 12, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
• How to watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW and YES

Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Mariners 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Mariners 49%

Yankees vs. Mariners Betting Insights

• The Yankees have won 21, or 63.6%, of the 33 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 13-6 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -151 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 60.2%.
• The Mariners have come away with seven wins in the 13 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Seattle has won one of three games when listed as at least +126 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 44.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees went 5-4 across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Yankees have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge leads the Yankees in home runs (14), runs batted in (39) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .409.
• Among all batters in MLB, Judge is first in home runs and first in RBI.
• Judge brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .381 with two doubles, three home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
• Goldschmidt is hitting .349 with 11 doubles, four home runs and 12 walks.
• Goldschmidt is 116th in homers and 67th in RBI on the year.
• Goldschmidt carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBIs.
• Ben Rice is batting .260 with nine doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 15 walks.
• Trent Grisham is batting .276 with a double, a triple, 10 home runs and 13 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Mariners have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have failed to hit the over twice.
• The Mariners have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Raleigh has swatted a team-leading 12 long balls.
• In all of the majors, Raleigh is third in homers and 25th in RBI.
• Jorge Polanco has driven in the most runs for the Mariners with 28 runs batted in.
• Polanco is currently 14th in homers and 15th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Julio Rodriguez has four doubles, two triples, six home runs and 17 walks while batting .228.
• Randy Arozarena is hitting .237 with nine doubles, five home runs and 26 walks.

Mariners Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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