Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 9

The New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners will meet on Wednesday at Yankee Stadium, at 7:05 p.m. ET, with Aaron Judge and Cal Raleigh -- two hot hitters -- expected to step up at the plate. Bookmakers list the Yankees as -160 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Mariners +134 moneyline odds to win. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup has been listed at 9.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, July 9, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: Amazon Prime Video and ROOT Sports NW

Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Mariners 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 60%, Mariners 40%

Yankees vs. Mariners Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 81 times this season and won 47, or 58%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 28-17, a 62.2% win rate, when favored by -160 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 61.5%.
• The Mariners have won in 14, or 45.2%, of the 31 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Seattle has won three of six games when listed as at least +134 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 3-6 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over nine times.
• The Yankees are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Judge's 34 round-trippers and 75 RBI both lead the Yankees, on top of his team-high .360 average.
• Among all batters in baseball, Judge's home run total ranks him second, and his RBI tally ranks him third.
• Judge has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .316 with three home runs, three walks and five RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger has 17 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 29 walks while batting .278.
• Bellinger is 59th in home runs and 56th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Bellinger has 13 straight games with at least one hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .372 with three doubles, three home runs, two walks and eight RBIs.
• Paul Goldschmidt is batting .290 with 20 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 27 walks.
• Goldschmidt is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .391 with five doubles and two RBIs.
• Anthony Volpe has 21 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .217.

Yankees Team Props

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Mariners have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Mariners have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Raleigh paces the Mariners in home runs (36) and runs batted in (76).
• Raleigh's home run total places him first in the majors, and he is second in RBI.
• Julio Rodriguez is batting .247 with 14 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 24 walks.
• Rodriguez is 90th among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 70th in RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has 20 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .246.
• J.P. Crawford paces the Mariners with a team-high batting average of .286.

Mariners Team Props

Mariners vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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