Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 8

Cal Raleigh and the Seattle Mariners take the field on Tuesday at Yankee Stadium against Will Warren, who is projected to start for the New York Yankees. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. The Mariners are listed as +111 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Yankees (-131). New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +154 odds). A 9-run over/under has been set for this matchup.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Yankees vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between New York Yankees and New York Mets.

Yankees vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 8, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: YES and ROOT Sports NW

Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Mariners 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Mariners 46%

Yankees vs. Mariners Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 80 times and won 46, or 57.5%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 41-29, a 58.6% win rate, when favored by -131 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 56.7%.
• The Mariners have won in 14, or 46.7%, of the 30 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Seattle has been victorious eight times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 47.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees went 3-6 over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Yankees combined with their opponents to go over the run total eight times.
• The Yankees' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge's 33 round-trippers and 74 RBI both lead the Yankees, in addition to his team-high .360 average.
• Judge's home runs place him second in MLB, and he is second in RBI.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .272 with 17 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 29 walks.
• Bellinger is 56th in homers and 54th in RBI on the year.
• Bellinger carries a 12-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .349 with three doubles, three home runs, two walks and nine RBIs.
• Paul Goldschmidt is batting .284 with 19 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 27 walks.
• Trent Grisham is hitting .254 with seven doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 39 walks.
• Grisham takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .375 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.

Yankees Team Props

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• Sportsbooks have not installed the Mariners as underdogs in any of their last 10 games.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Mariners are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Raleigh leads the Mariners in home runs (35) and runs batted in (74).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Raleigh ranks first in home runs and second in RBI.
• Julio Rodriguez has 13 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .247.
• Among all major league hitters, Rodriguez is 87th in homers and 72nd in RBI.
• Randy Arozarena is hitting .249 with 20 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 41 walks.
• J.P. Crawford paces the Mariners with a team-leading batting average of .284.

Mariners Team Props

Yankees vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between New York Yankees and New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

New York Yankees

Seattle Mariners