Twins vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 6

The Minnesota Twins and Byron Buxton will square off against the Tampa Bay Rays and Brandon Lowe on Sunday at 2:10 p.m. ET in the final game of a three-game series at Target Field. The Twins are listed as -129 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Rays (+109). Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +163 odds). The over/under for the matchup is listed at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and Minnesota Twins.

Twins vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 2:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to watch on TV: MNNT and FDSSUN

Twins vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rays 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 50%, Rays 50%

Twins vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Twins have been favorites in 57 games this season and won 30 (52.6%) of those contests.
• Minnesota is 19-12 this season when entering a game favored by -129 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 56.3%.
• The Rays have been victorious in 19, or 47.5%, of the 40 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Tampa Bay has been victorious 15 times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins went 5-2 over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Twins' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Not only does Buxton lead the Twins in hitting with his .268 average, he also paces the squad with 19 home runs and 52 RBI.
• Buxton's home runs put him 16th in MLB, and he ranks 28th in RBI.
• Trevor Larnach is hitting .255 with 14 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 27 walks.
• Larnach ranks 66th in homers and 88th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Larnach enters this matchup looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .222 with two doubles.
• Ty France is hitting .255 with 15 doubles, six home runs and 14 walks.
• Carlos Correa is batting .259 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks.

Twins Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have a record of 1-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Rays are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Junior Caminero has posted a team-leading 21 home runs and has driven in 55 runs.
• Caminero's home run total places him ninth in the big leagues, and he ranks 22nd in RBI.
• Yandy Diaz has 17 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 28 walks while batting .287.
• Among all MLB hitters, Diaz is 43rd in home runs and 34th in RBI.
• Lowe is batting .273 with 11 doubles, 19 home runs and 24 walks.
• Jonathan Aranda leads the team in batting average with a mark of .315.

Rays Team Props

Rays vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and Minnesota Twins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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