Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 14

Byron Buxton and the Minnesota Twins will try to find success against Nabil Crismatt when he starts for the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday at 2:10 p.m. ET. The favored Twins have -120 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +100. Minnesota (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 9.5 runs for the game (with -101 odds to hit the over and -120 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 2:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to watch on TV: MNNT and ARID

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 6, Diamondbacks 5
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 50%, Diamondbacks 50%

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• This season, the Twins have been favored 85 times and won 39, or 45.9%, of those games.
• Minnesota has a record of 32-30 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
• The Twins have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 31, or 48.4%, of the 64 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Arizona has a win-loss record of 30-28 when favored by +100 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins were the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they finished 1-5 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Twins have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Buxton has put up a team-high batting average of .274, while leading the Twins in home runs (31) and runs batted in (76).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Buxton's home run total ranks him 11th, and his RBI tally ranks him 49th.
• Buxton takes a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .297 with two doubles, three triples, two home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
• Trevor Larnach is batting .252 with 21 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 50 walks.
• Larnach ranks 112th in homers and 112th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Brooks Lee has 14 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .237.
• Kody Clemens is hitting .216 with 11 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 25 walks.
• Clemens is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .318 with a double, four home runs, a walk and nine RBIs.

Twins Team Props

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Diamondbacks have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Geraldo Perdomo leads the Diamondbacks with 95 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .286.
• Perdomo is 79th in homers and 13th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Perdomo brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with two home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
• Corbin Carroll has racked up a team-best 30 home runs.
• Carroll is currently 15th in home runs and 49th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Ketel Marte has 22 doubles, 25 home runs and 63 walks while batting .280.
• Gabriel Moreno is batting .292 with 11 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 20 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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