Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 24, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

George Springer and Alex Bregman will hit the field when the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox meet on Wednesday at Rogers Centre. The Red Sox are -128 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Blue Jays (+108). Boston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 7.5 runs for the game (with -102 odds to go over and -119 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 24, 2025 at 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
  • How to watch on TV: SNET and NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -128 +108 7.5 -102 -119 -1.5 +139 -165

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Blue Jays 48%

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Red Sox have been favored 97 times and won 56, or 57.7%, of those games.
  • Boston has entered 62 games this season favored by -128 or more and is 35-27 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • The Blue Jays have won in 42, or 57.5%, of the 73 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Toronto has come away with a win 24 times in 41 chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 48.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and finished 3-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total four times.
  • The Red Sox have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 9
ERA 3.80
K/9 9.9

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Jarren Duran has been stellar at getting on base for the Red Sox this season, leading the team with a .334 OBP and 156 base hits.
  • In all of MLB, Duran ranks 123rd in home runs and 42nd in RBI.
  • Trevor Story has shown off his power as he leads his team with 25 home runs and 95 RBI, with a team-high .264 batting average.
  • Story is 45th in home runs and 18th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Story enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .208 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
  • Bregman has 27 doubles, 18 home runs and 49 walks while batting .275.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .244 with 31 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Rafaela takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with two doubles, a walk and two RBIs.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Trevor Story 0.5 (-198) 1.5 (+136) - 0.5 (+194)
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 (-216) 1.5 (+138) - 0.5 (+195)
Jarren Duran 0.5 (-248) 1.5 (+106) - 0.5 (+187)
Alex Bregman 0.5 (-202) 1.5 (+127) - 0.5 (+173)
Garrett Crochet - - - -

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Blue Jays have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Blue Jays are 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 6
ERA 5.01
K/9 8

Blue Jays Player Insights

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .297 with 34 doubles, 23 home runs and 81 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .388.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Guerrero's home run total is 56th and his RBI tally is 37th.
  • Springer has put his power on display as he leads his team with 30 home runs.
  • Among all major league hitters, Springer is 21st in home runs and 49th in RBI.
  • Ernie Clement has 33 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 26 walks while batting .277.
  • Alejandro Kirk has 17 doubles, 12 home runs and 48 walks while hitting .283.

Blue Jays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 (-271) 1.5 (+113) - 0.5 (+166)
George Springer 0.5 (-209) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+222)
Ernie Clement 0.5 (-257) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+232)
Max Scherzer - - - -
Andres Gimenez - - - -

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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