Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 13

Andrew Alvarez will be starting for the Washington Nationals when they take on Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Pirates are listed as -114 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Nationals (-105). Pittsburgh (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under for the matchup has been set at 9 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to watch on TV: MASN and SportsNet PT

Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Nationals 4, Pirates 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Pirates 50%, Nationals 50%

Pirates vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Pirates have won 20, or 48.8%, of the 41 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season Pittsburgh has won 20 of its 37 games, or 54.1%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have a 53.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Nationals have won in 55, or 43%, of the 128 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Washington has come away with a win 52 times in 121 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Pirates were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only two times, and they lost both games.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Pirates combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.
• The Pirates' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Reynolds leads the Pirates in runs batted in (71) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .242.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Reynolds ranks 127th in home runs and 66th in RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen has 22 doubles, 13 home runs and 62 walks while batting .241.
• McCutchen ranks 150th in home runs and 137th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Oneil Cruz has hit a team-best 19 home runs.
• Tommy Pham is hitting .256 with 17 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 42 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
• The Nationals have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams paces the Nationals with a team-high batting average of .266.
• Among all batters in the majors, Abrams is 100th in home runs and 137th in RBI.
• James Wood has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 27 home runs and 88 runs batted in.
• Wood ranks 30th overall in home runs and 21st in RBI this season.
• Luis Garcia is batting .260 with 27 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 26 walks.
• Josh Bell is batting .234 with 13 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 54 walks.

Nationals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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