Phillies vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 13

Brandon Marsh and the Philadelphia Phillies will square off against Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday at 6:05 p.m. ET, in the second game of a three-game series. Oddsmakers list the Phillies as -146 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Royals +123 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's total has been set at 9.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 6:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSKC

Phillies vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Royals 44%

Phillies vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 120 times and won 75, or 62.5%, of those games.
• This season Philadelphia has won 53 of its 77 games, or 68.8%, when favored by at least -146 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 59.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 84 games this year and have walked away with the win 38 times (45.2%) in those games.
• Kansas City has a mark of 15-15 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +123 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 6-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies have an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has gone yard 50 times in the 2025 campaign while knocking in 124 runs, both totals that lead the Phillies.
• Among all batters in the majors, Schwarber is second in homers and first in RBI.
• Schwarber takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with a double, a home run, six walks and four RBIs.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .267 with 31 doubles, 26 home runs and 59 walks.
• Harper is 35th in homers and 61st in RBI on the year.
• Harper has four games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, two home runs, a walk and five RBIs.
• Bryson Stott is batting .257 with 20 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 49 walks.
• Stott will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a home run, two walks and three RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos is batting .255 with 27 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 30 walks.
• Castellanos is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .389 with two doubles, a triple, a walk and four RBIs.

Phillies Team Props

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 2-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• The Royals have two wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Witt leads the Royals with a .293 batting average.
• Witt's home run total places him 60th in the big leagues, and he ranks 40th in RBI.
• Maikel Garcia is batting .292 with 36 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 55 walks.
• Garcia is 111th in home runs and 72nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has been a significant run producer for the Royals with 30 home runs and 102 runs batted in.
• Salvador Perez is hitting .233 with 34 doubles, 25 home runs and 23 walks.

Royals Team Props

Royals vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Enjoy the best moments between Kansas City Royals and the Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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