Phillies vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 8

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies take on Chandler Simpson and the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday at 7:05 p.m. ET. The Phillies are -162 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Rays (+137). Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for this matchup.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Tampa Bay Rays.

Phillies vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 8, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, FDSSUN, and NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Rays 49%

Phillies vs. Rays Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 28 times and won 17, or 60.7%, of those games.
• This season Philadelphia has won 11 of its 14 games, or 78.6%, when favored by at least -162 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 61.8%.
• The Rays have been victorious in seven, or 43.8%, of the 16 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Tampa Bay has won four of nine games when listed as at least +137 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 42.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 7-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Phillies have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• The Phillies' best power option comes in the form of Schwarber and his 12-homer 28-RBI season, both team highs.
• Including all MLB batters, Schwarber ranks 61st in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and seventh in slugging.
• Schwarber brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .400 with a double, three home runs, three walks and five RBIs.
• Bryce Harper has seven doubles, six home runs and 27 walks while hitting .243.
• Harper is 47th in homers and 55th in RBI in the majors.
• Harper has three games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .286 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
• Trea Turner paces the Phillies with a team-best batting average of .307.
• Turner has at least one base hit in six straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .432 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos is hitting .285 with 10 doubles, four home runs and nine walks.
• Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with two doubles, a home run and four RBIs.

Phillies Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Rays had a record of 3-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Rays and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rays are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Yandy Diaz has a team-leading 17 runs batted in.
• Diaz's home run total puts him 65th in MLB, and he ranks 76th in RBI.
• Diaz has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a home run, two walks and three RBIs.
• Jonathan Aranda has a club-best 17 RBI and .317 batting average.
• Aranda ranks 65th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 76th in RBI.
• Junior Caminero has six home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Kameron Misner is hitting .271 with seven doubles, a triple, three home runs and six walks.

Rays Team Props

Phillies vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Tampa Bay Rays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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