Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 25

The Philadelphia Phillies versus Miami Marlins game on Thursday at 6:05 p.m. ET will feature a pair of hot hitters in Kyle Schwarber and Otto Lopez. The Marlins have been listed as +136 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Phillies (-163). Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the contest is listed at 9 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Marlins vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Enjoy the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 25, 2025 at 6:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSFL

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 58%, Marlins 42%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 77 out of the 125 games, or 61.6%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 43-18, a 70.5% win rate, when favored by -163 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 62%.
• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 128 games this year and have walked away with the win 62 times (48.4%) in those games.
• This season, Miami has been victorious 23 times in 49 chances when named as an underdog of at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 2-3 over the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total eight times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Schwarber paces the Phillies with 56 home runs and 132 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Schwarber's home run total ranks him second, and his RBI tally ranks him first.
• Schwarber takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .318 with two doubles, three home runs, two walks and four RBIs.
• Bryce Harper has 32 doubles, 27 home runs and 68 walks while batting .263.
• Harper is 36th in homers and 64th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Bryson Stott is hitting .255 with 22 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 54 walks.
• Nick Castellanos is batting .253 with 27 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 31 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 5-2 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Marlins are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Lopez has a team-leading 77 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in the majors, Lopez's home run total ranks 138th and his RBI tally is 59th.
• Agustin Ramirez is hitting .231 with 33 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 36 walks.
• Ramirez is 67th overall in homers and 93rd in RBI this season.
• Xavier Edwards paces the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .279.
• Eric Wagaman is batting .251 with 27 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 32 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Enjoy the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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