Phillies vs. Diamondbacks NLCS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 20

Updated Oct. 20, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

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The Philadelphia Phillies will visit the Arizona Diamondbacks in the fourth game of the NLCS on Friday at 8:07 PM ET, live on TBS from Chase Field. The Diamondbacks will try to tie things up as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 2-1. The favored Phillies have -133 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +113. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +120 odds). The total for the matchup is listed at 9.5 runs.

The probable starters are Cristopher Sanchez (3-5, 3.44 ERA) for the Phillies against Joe Mantiply (2-2, 4.62 ERA) for the Diamondbacks.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, October 20, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Diamondbacks 5
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Diamondbacks 49%

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 117 games this season and won 71 (60.7%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has a record of 52-26, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -133 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 57.1% chance to win.
• The Diamondbacks have won in 47, or 49.5%, of the 95 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Arizona has come away with a win 27 times in 59 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 46.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 5-1 record over the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies are 9-1-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a team-high 47 home runs.
• Schwarber ranks second in home runs and 11th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Trea Turner is batting .266 with 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks.
• Turner is 38th in homers and 66th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Turner enters this game looking for his 14th game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 games he is batting .459 with five doubles, three home runs, four walks and four RBI.
• Alec Bohm is batting .274 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
• Bohm will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .176 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .293 to pace his team.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
• The Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Diamondbacks are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with a team-leading batting average of .285.
• In all of the big leagues, Carroll is 46th in homers and 66th in RBI.
• Christian Walker been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 33 home runs and 103 runs batted in.
• Walker is 16th overall in home runs and 12th in RBI this year.
• Ketel Marte is batting .276 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks while batting .261.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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MLB - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - 10/21/2023