Phillies vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 28

The Philadelphia Phillies versus Atlanta Braves game on Thursday at 6:45 p.m. ET will feature a pair of hot hitters in Trea Turner and Jurickson Profar. The favored Phillies have -182 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Braves, who are listed at +151. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 9.5 runs for the game (with -120 odds to hit the over and -101 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, August 28, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, NBCS-PH, and FDSSO

Phillies vs. Braves Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Braves 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Braves 46%

Phillies vs. Braves Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 108 games this season and won 66 (61.1%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia is 32-8 this season when entering a game favored by -182 or more on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 64.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Braves have come away with 13 wins in the 40 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Atlanta has come away with a win two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +151 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Braves have an implied victory probability of 39.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they went 6-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Phillies are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has gone yard 45 times in the 2025 campaign while driving in 110 runs, both totals that lead the Phillies.
• Schwarber is second in home runs and first in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Turner's .297 batting average paces his team.
• Turner is 120th in home runs in the majors, and 74th in RBI.
• Turner has five straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .227 with a triple, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .267 with 29 doubles, 21 home runs and 54 walks.
• Harper will look to build on his 10-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .366 with a double, two home runs, four walks and nine RBIs.
• Bryson Stott has 17 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 45 walks while batting .244.

Phillies Team Props

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Braves and their opponents are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Braves have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Matt Olson leads the lineup with a batting average of .265, while pacing the Braves in home runs, with 20 and runs batted in with 74.
• In all of the big leagues, Olson is 57th in home runs and 33rd in RBI.
• Ozzie Albies has 19 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 47 walks while batting .233.
• Among all major league batters, Albies ranks 136th in home runs and 85th in RBI.
• Michael Harris II is hitting .251 with 21 doubles, six triples, 17 home runs and 14 walks.
• Marcell Ozuna has hit a team-high 20 home runs.

Braves Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Philadelphia Phillies

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