Padres vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 31

Updated May. 31, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Dylan Cease will start for the San Diego Padres on Friday at Kauffman Stadium against Maikel Garcia and the Kansas City Royals. First pitch is at 8:10 PM ET in this first game of a three-game series. The Royals have been listed as +111 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Padres (-132). San Diego (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 7.5-run over/under has been set in this contest.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, May 31, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-132	+111	7.5	-120	-104	-1.5	+126	-152

Padres vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Royals 5, Padres 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 56%, Royals 44%

Padres vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Padres have entered the game as favorites 35 times this season and won 18, or 51.4%, of those games.
San Diego has a record of 11-10, a 52.4% win rate, when favored by -132 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 56.9% chance to win.
The Royals have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win 17 times (51.5%) in those contests.
This season, Kansas City has been victorious seven times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or longer on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
The Padres' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	2.6
HR	5
ERA	3.34
K/9	9.5

Padres Player Insights

Jurickson Profar has put up a team-high 35 runs batted in.
Among all hitters in MLB, Profar is 49th in home runs and 20th in RBI.
Profar carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .235 with a home run, three walks and three RBI.
Luis Arraez's .332 batting average paces his team.
Arraez ranks 295th in homers and 226th in RBI in the majors.
Arraez carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with an RBI.
Jake Cronenworth has driven in a team-best 35 runs batted in.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit nine home runs to lead his team.
Tatis is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with a home run and two RBI.

Learn more about this Padres vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Royals had a record of 2-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
The Royals have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6.1
HR	15
ERA	3.27
K/9	7.5

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. is hitting .309 with 16 doubles, six triples, nine home runs and 20 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .363.
Witt's home run total places him 35th in the big leagues, and he is 11th in RBI.
Salvador Perez has hit 10 home runs with 41 RBI while batting .320. Those numbers are pace the clubhouse.
Perez ranks 22nd in homers and seventh in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
Garcia is batting .265 with 12 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 17 walks.
Vinnie Pasquantino is batting .229 with 13 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 21 walks.