Padres vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 2

Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres will see Cristopher Sanchez on the hill for the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday at 6:15 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Padres as -116 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Phillies -104 moneyline odds. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +138 odds). The game's total has been listed at 9 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Trea Turner, Bryce Harper go yard as Phillies strike first vs. Blue Jays

Trea Turner, Bryce Harper went yard as the Philadelphia Phillies struck first vs. the Blue Jays.

Padres vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, July 2, 2025 at 6:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and SDPA

Padres vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Padres 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 56%, Phillies 44%

Padres vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 43 times and won 26, or 60.5%, of those games.
• San Diego has a record of 24-15 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -116 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 53.7% chance to win.
• The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (36.8%) in those games.
• This season, Philadelphia has come away with a win six times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 51% chance of walking away with the win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres went 4-3 across the seven games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
• The Padres have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Machado paces the Padres with a team-best batting average of .293.
• Machado ranks 45th in home runs and 37th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Fernando Tatis Jr.'s 15 home runs lead his team.
• Tatis is 32nd in home runs and 90th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Tatis carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .167 with three walks.
• Luis Arraez has 17 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 15 walks while batting .286.
• Arraez will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .350 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
• Gavin Sheets has totaled 49 runs batted in to pace his team.

Padres Team Props

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Phillies had a record of 2-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• The Phillies have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has put up a team-leading 25 home runs and has driven in 57 runs.
• Schwarber's home run total places him fifth in MLB, and he ranks 12th in RBI.
• Trea Turner is batting .295 to lead the lineup.
• Turner ranks 74th overall in home runs and 77th in RBI this season.
• Nick Castellanos is hitting .282 with 22 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 19 walks.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .256 with 13 doubles, nine home runs and 36 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Trea Turner, Bryce Harper go yard as Phillies strike first vs. Blue Jays

Trea Turner, Bryce Harper went yard as the Philadelphia Phillies struck first vs. the Blue Jays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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