Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 11

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 11

Updated Jun. 11, 2025 4:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Manny Machado and Andy Pages will look to continue their recent offensive production when the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers meet at PETCO Park on Wednesday, at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -112, while the underdog Dodgers have -107 odds to win. Los Angeles is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +153 odds). The game's over/under is set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Dodgers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Dodgers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, June 11, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to watch on TV: SDPA and SportsNet LA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -112 -107 8.5 -108 -112 -1.5 -187 +153

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 50%, Dodgers 50%

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Padres have entered the game as favorites 36 times this season and won 22, or 61.1%, of those games.
  • San Diego is 22-14 this season when entering a game favored by -112 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 52.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Dodgers have won in six, or 46.2%, of the 13 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Los Angeles has a mark of 5-6 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 51.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres went 2-1 over the three games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
  • The Padres have put together an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 5
ERA 2.40
K/9 8

Padres Player Insights

  • Machado paces the Padres in runs batted in (39) and has put up a team-high batting average of .325.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Machado's home run total places him 49th, and his RBI tally puts him 28th.
  • Machado has collected a hit in eight games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .415 with a double, four home runs, three walks and 14 RBIs.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr.'s 13 home runs lead his team.
  • Tatis is 20th in homers and 99th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Tatis has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .118 with four walks.
  • Luis Arraez is batting .281 with 15 doubles, three triples, three home runs and 12 walks.
  • Arraez is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .273 with three doubles, a walk and four RBIs.
  • Gavin Sheets is batting .250 with eight doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 16 walks.
  • Sheets is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .111 with a double and two walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+125)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+150)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+180)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+165)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-200) - 0.5 (+210)

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Dodgers have been underdogs twice and lost both games.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Dodgers and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Dodgers have won one of their last 10 games against the spread.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 9
ERA 4.80
K/9 7.6

Dodgers Player Insights

  • Shohei Ohtani has racked up a team-best 23 home runs.
  • Ohtani's home run total places him third in the big leagues, and he is 28th in RBI.
  • Ohtani brings a hitting streak of seven games into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .256 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and two RBIs.
  • Mookie Betts has seven doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 30 walks while hitting .270.
  • Betts is 67th in homers and 65th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Freddie Freeman paces the Dodgers with a team-high batting average of .349.
  • Pages has 10 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 13 walks while hitting .285.

Dodgers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Will Smith 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+130)
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+165)
Andy Pages 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+165)
Shohei Ohtani 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-155) - 0.5 (-105)
Mookie Betts 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+145)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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