Padres vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 20

Padres vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 20

Updated May. 20, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres will try to defeat Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on Tuesday at 7:07 p.m. ET. The Padres are favored in this one, at -113, while the underdog Blue Jays have -106 odds to play spoiler. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +149 odds). A 7.5-run total is listed for the game.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Mariners vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres.

Padres vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, May 20, 2025 at 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
  • How to watch on TV: SN1 and SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -113 -106 7.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +149 -180

Padres vs. Blue Jays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Blue Jays 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Blue Jays 49%

Padres vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have won 17 out of the 26 games, or 65.4%, in which they've been favored.
  • San Diego is 16-9 this season when entering a game favored by -113 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 53.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Blue Jays have come away with 13 wins in the 27 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Toronto has been victorious 11 times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 51.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they went 4-5 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
  • The Padres have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 12
ERA 4.84
K/9 9.9

Padres Player Insights

  • Tatis has a team-best 12 home runs and 27 runs batted in.
  • Among all MLB batters, Tatis is 14th in batting average, 26th in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging.
  • Tatis has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a double, two home runs, three walks and three RBIs.
  • Manny Machado's .317 batting average paces his team.
  • Machado ranks 175th in home runs in the majors, and 100th in RBI.
  • Luis Arraez has five doubles, two triples, three home runs and nine walks while batting .297.
  • Arraez has at least one base hit in six straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .318 with a double, a triple, two walks and three RBIs.
  • Xander Bogaerts is hitting .252 with nine doubles, three home runs and 21 walks.
  • Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with a home run, three walks and three RBIs.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+160)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+130) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+195)
Jackson Merrill 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (-125) - 0.5 (+120)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-115) - 0.5 (+165)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-200) - 0.5 (+190)

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Blue Jays have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 6-3-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Blue Jays have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 15
ERA 4.00
K/9 9.1

Blue Jays Player Insights

  • Guerrero has eight doubles, five home runs and 30 walks while hitting .288.
  • In all of the majors, Guerrero ranks 113th in home runs and 100th in RBI.
  • Bo Bichette has a club-leading 22 runs batted in and .292 batting average.
  • Bichette ranks 143rd among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 82nd in RBI.
  • George Springer has 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 25 walks while hitting .263.
  • Alejandro Kirk has four doubles, three home runs and four walks while batting .287.

Blue Jays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+200)
Bo Bichette 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+230)
Nathan Lukes 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+300)
George Springer 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-155) - 0.5 (+210)
Ernie Clement 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-170) - 0.5 (+270)

Tigers vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Detroit Tigers and the Toronto Blue Jays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
share