Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 20

Juan Soto and the New York Mets will meet Elly De La Cruz and the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday at Citi Field, at 1:40 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Mets as -137 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Reds +116 moneyline odds to win. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +151 odds). An 8-run total is listed for the matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Reds vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets.

Mets vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 20, 2025 at 1:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: WPIX and FDSOH

Mets vs. Reds Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Reds 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Reds 47%

Mets vs. Reds Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 70 times and won 44, or 62.9%, of those games.
• New York has entered 49 games this season favored by -137 or more and is 30-19 in those contests.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 54 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (53.7%) in those games.
• This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 11 times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 46.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 3-4 across the seven games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Mets' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Soto leads the Mets with 24 round-trippers on the year. He's also hitting .259 with 57 RBI.
• Among all batters in MLB, Soto is 10th in home runs and 28th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso's 77 runs batted in and .276 batting average both pace his team.
• Alonso ranks 14th in homers and sixth in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .253 with 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 33 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo has 18 doubles, 18 home runs and 31 walks while batting .262.
• Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a double and five walks.

Mets Team Props

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
• The Reds have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• De La Cruz leads the lineup with a batting average of .280, and paces the Reds in home runs, with 18 and runs batted in with 64.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, De La Cruz ranks 27th in homers and 14th in RBI.
• TJ Friedl has 15 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 46 walks while hitting .270.
• Friedl ranks 144th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 154th in RBI.
• Spencer Steer has 15 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 25 walks while batting .251.
• Matt McLain is batting .214 with 11 doubles, 11 home runs and 36 walks.

Reds Team Props

Reds vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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New York Mets

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