Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 31

Mark Vientos and the New York Mets take the field on Sunday at Citi Field against Sandy Alcantara, who is starting for the Miami Marlins. First pitch is at 1:40 p.m. ET for the final game of a four-game series. The Mets are the favorite in this one, at -179, while the underdog Marlins have +148 odds to play spoiler. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +120 odds). The contest's over/under has been listed at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Marlins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 1:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: WPIX and FDSFL

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 4, Marlins 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 57%, Marlins 43%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 95 games this season and won 55 (57.9%) of those contests.
• This season New York has won 23 of its 33 games, or 69.7%, when favored by at least -179 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 64.2% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Marlins have been victorious in 54, or 47.4%, of the 114 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a mark of 14-18 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +148 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 3-4 across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total eight times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto's 35 home runs in 2025 are the most on the Mets. He's also driven in 84 runs while hitting .254.
• Soto is seventh in home runs and 16th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Soto has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with three home runs, five walks and seven RBIs.
• Pete Alonso has a club-high 110 runs batted in and .271 batting average.
• Alonso is ninth in homers and second in RBI on the season.
• Alonso heads into this game looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 games he is batting .326 with two doubles, three home runs, three walks and nine RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .268 with 28 doubles, 26 home runs and 46 walks.
• Lindor has at least one base hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is batting .429 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .263 with 26 doubles, 22 home runs and 45 walks.
• Nimmo is riding a six-game hitting streak into this one. In his last 10 outings he is batting .389 with three doubles, two home runs, three walks and 10 RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In nine games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Marlins had a record of 4-5.
• The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Otto Lopez has 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 41 walks while batting .245.
• Lopez's home run total places him 145th in the big leagues, and he is 65th in RBI.
• Lopez takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run and six RBIs.
• Xavier Edwards is batting .284 with 20 doubles, five triples, two home runs and 42 walks.
• Edwards ranks 377th in home runs and 221st in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Agustin Ramirez has 28 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 28 walks while batting .231.
• Eric Wagaman has 23 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 30 walks while hitting .239.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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