Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 29

Otto Lopez and the Miami Marlins will take the field on Friday at Citi Field against Jonah Tong, who gets the start for the New York Mets. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Mets are the favorite in this one, at -179, while the underdog Marlins have +148 odds to play spoiler. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +126 odds). The matchup's total has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Phillies vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, August 29, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: SNY and FDSFL

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 61%, Marlins 39%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 93 games this season and won 54 (58.1%) of those contests.
• New York has entered 31 games this season favored by -179 or more and is 22-9 in those contests.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 64.2% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Marlins have been underdogs in 112 games this season and have come away with the win 53 times (47.3%) in those contests.
• This year, Miami has won 14 of 32 games when listed as at least +148 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and finished 3-4 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
• The Mets have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto has a team-high 32 homers.
• Among all MLB batters, Soto is 100th in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and 29th in slugging.
• Pete Alonso has racked up 108 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Alonso ranks ninth in homers and second in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Alonso has four games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .364 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor has a team-high batting average of .269.
• Lindor is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .348 with a walk and an RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .258 with 24 doubles, 20 home runs and 44 walks.
• Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with a double, a walk and five RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Xavier Edwards is batting .285 with 20 doubles, five triples, two home runs and 42 walks.
• Edwards' home run total puts him 374th in the majors, and he is 219th in RBI.
• Lopez is batting .239 with 17 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 walks.
• Lopez ranks 158th in home runs and 75th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Agustin Ramirez is hitting .228 with 27 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 28 walks.
• Eric Wagaman is batting .231 with 21 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 29 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Phillies vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

New York Mets

Miami Marlins