Mariners vs. Tigers ALDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 8

Mariners vs. Tigers ALDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 8

Updated Oct. 8, 2025 3:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The ALDS rolls on Wednesday at 3:08 p.m. ET when the Seattle Mariners visit the Detroit Tigers live on FS1 from Comerica Park. The Mariners would advance to the ALCS with a Game 4 win while the Tigers hope to force a winner-take-all Game 5. Bookmakers list the Mariners as -110 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Tigers -109 moneyline odds. Seattle (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The matchup's over/under has been set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners NEED TO CLINCH TODAY 😳 against Tigers to AVOID Tarik Skubal showdown in Game 5

Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, and David Ortiz broke down how imperative it is for the Seattle Mariners to finish the job today against the Detroit Tigers, warning that facing Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal in a potential Game 5 would be a tall task.

Mariners vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, October 8, 2025 at 3:08 p.m. ET
  • Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
  • How to watch on TV: FS1
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners -110 -109 8.5 -116 -104 -1.5 +151 -186

Mariners vs. Tigers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Mariners 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mariners 51%, Tigers 49%

Mariners vs. Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have won 67, or 58.3%, of the 115 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Seattle has a record of 68-48 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 52.4% chance to win.
  • The Tigers have been underdogs in 54 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (48.1%) in those contests.
  • Detroit has a mark of 25-27 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mariners went 5-3 over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Mariners have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 16
ERA 3.13
K/9 10.3

Mariners Player Insights

  • Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with 60 home runs and 125 runs batted in.
  • Raleigh's home runs place him first in the majors, and he is third in RBI.
  • Raleigh has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBIs.
  • Julio Rodriguez is batting .267 with 31 doubles, four triples, 32 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Rodriguez is 17th in home runs and 20th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Josh Naylor has racked up a team-high batting average of .295.
  • Eugenio Suarez is batting .228 with 28 doubles, 49 home runs and 46 walks.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Randy Arozarena 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+134) - 0.5 (+204)
Julio Rodríguez 0.5 (-261) 1.5 (+101) - 0.5 (+164)
Jorge Polanco 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+134) - 0.5 (+166)
Cal Raleigh 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (-106) - 0.5 (+118)
Victor Robles 0.5 (-154) - - 0.5 (+287)

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Tigers have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 4-3 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Tigers and their opponents are 2-7-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Tigers are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.0
HR 6
ERA 3.06
K/9 9.2

Tigers Player Insights

  • Gleyber Torres is hitting .256 with 22 doubles, 16 home runs and 85 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .358.
  • In all of MLB, Torres ranks 127th in home runs and 73rd in RBI.
  • Torres carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with two doubles and a walk.
  • Riley Greene been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 36 home runs and 111 RBI.
  • Greene is 10th overall in home runs and seventh in RBI this year.
  • Spencer Torkelson is hitting .240 with 27 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 72 walks.
  • Zach McKinstry leads the Tigers with a .259 batting average.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Riley Greene 0.5 (-199) 1.5 (+122) - 0.5 (+152)
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 (-201) 1.5 (+118) - 0.5 (+169)
Gleyber Torres 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+141) - 0.5 (+230)
Zach McKinstry 0.5 (-161) - - 0.5 (+231)
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 (-157) - - 0.5 (+188)

Mariners NEED TO CLINCH TODAY 😳 against Tigers to AVOID Tarik Skubal showdown in Game 5

Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, and David Ortiz broke down how imperative it is for the Seattle Mariners to finish the job today against the Detroit Tigers, warning that facing Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal in a potential Game 5 would be a tall task.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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