Mariners vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 28

Mariners vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 28

Updated May. 28, 2025 9:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Cal Raleigh and James Wood will be among the stars on display when the Seattle Mariners face the Washington Nationals on Wednesday at 9:40 p.m. ET, at T-Mobile Park. The Mariners are favored in this one, at -219, while the underdog Nationals have +181 odds to win. Seattle is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with -102 odds). An 8-run over/under has been set for the matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, May 28, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
  • How to watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW and MASN2
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners -219 +181 8 -115 -105 -1.5 -102 -118

Mariners vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mariners 7, Nationals 6
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mariners 55%, Nationals 45%

Mariners vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have won 18, or 54.5%, of the 33 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Seattle has played as favorites of -219 or more twice this season and split those games.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 68.7% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
  • The Nationals have been victorious in 22, or 48.9%, of the 45 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Washington has played as an underdog of +181 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 35.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mariners have a 3-4 record over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
  • The Mariners have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 14
ERA 2.72
K/9 6.9

Mariners Player Insights

  • Raleigh paces the Mariners in home runs (19) and runs batted in (37).
  • Raleigh ranks second in home runs and 15th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
  • Raleigh brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with three home runs, two walks and four RBIs.
  • Julio Rodriguez has six doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 19 walks while batting .244.
  • Rodriguez is 30th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Rodriguez carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .348 with a double, two home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.
  • Jorge Polanco has six doubles, 10 home runs and nine walks while batting .282.
  • J.P. Crawford has a club-high .261 batting average.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Randy Arozarena 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+135)
Leody Taveras 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+225)
J.P. Crawford 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+230)
Jorge Polanco 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+165)
Cal Raleigh 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+110)

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 6-3.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Nationals have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 11
ERA 4.04
K/9 8.5

Nationals Player Insights

  • Wood has a team-high 14 home runs and has driven in 37 runs.
  • Wood's home run total places him eighth in the majors, and he ranks 15th in RBI.
  • Wood has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and seven RBIs.
  • C.J. Abrams is batting .287 to lead the lineup.
  • Abrams is 55th in home runs and 146th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Luis Garcia has 10 doubles, four home runs and 11 walks while hitting .233.
  • Nathaniel Lowe is hitting .224 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 19 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nathaniel Lowe 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+195)
Luis Garcia 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+210)
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+205)
C.J. Abrams 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+180)
Robert Hassell III 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-150) - 0.5 (+265)

Cal Raleigh smacks 16th homer of the season as Mariners tie game vs. White Sox

Cal Raleigh went yard to help the Seattle Mariners tie game vs. the White Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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