Giants vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25

Matt Chapman and the San Francisco Giants will take on the New York Mets and Pete Alonso on Friday at 10:15 p.m. ET, at Oracle Park. Bookmakers list the Giants as -142 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Mets +119 moneyline odds to win. San Francisco is a 1.5-run favorite (at +155 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this game (with -101 odds to go over and -120 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Giants-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Giants vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 25, 2025 at 10:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Oracle Park in San Francisco, California
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-BA and SNY

Giants vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Giants 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Giants 53%, Mets 47%

Giants vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Giants have been favorites in 61 games this season and won 34 (55.7%) of those contests.
• San Francisco has a record of 22-18 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -142 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Giants.
• The Mets have been victorious in 11, or 37.9%, of the 29 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, New York has won four of 11 games when listed as at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Giants Recent Betting Performance

• The Giants have been listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just twice over the last 10 games, and split those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Giants combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
• The Giants' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Giants Recent Stats

Giants Player Insights

• The Giants' best power option comes in the form of Rafael Devers and his 19-homer 73-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all batters in the majors, Devers ranks 24th in home runs and 10th in RBI.
• Devers has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .364 with a double, two home runs, a walk and five RBIs.
• Jung Hoo Lee is batting .246 with 20 doubles, eight triples, six home runs and 33 walks.
• Lee ranks 206th in home runs and 106th in RBI in the majors.
• Heliot Ramos paces the Giants with a team-best batting average of .267.
• Ramos has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with two doubles, two walks and three RBIs.
• Willy Adames is hitting .229 with 16 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 48 walks.

Giants Team Props

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Mets have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Mets and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Mets have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto has swatted a team-leading 24 home runs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Soto ranks 10th in homers and 30th in RBI.
• Alonso's 80 RBI and .272 batting average both lead his team.
• Alonso is currently 15th in home runs and fifth in RBI in the major leagues.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .248 with 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 33 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .264 with 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 32 walks.

Mets Team Props

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