Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

The Atlanta Braves and Marcell Ozuna head into the final of a three-game series against Andrew McCutchen and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday at PNC Park. Bookmakers list the Braves as -234 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +192 moneyline odds. Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 8 runs for the contest (with -112 odds to go over and -108 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on May 10th, 2025.

Braves vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 1:35 p.m. ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SportsNet PT, and FDSSO

Braves vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Pirates 49%

Braves vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Braves have been favored 29 times and won 16, or 55.2%, of those games.
• Atlanta has entered four games this season favored by -234 or more and is 2-2 in those contests.
• The Braves have a 70.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Pirates have come away with eight wins in the 25 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Pittsburgh has been listed as an underdog of +192 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 34.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves played as the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and went 4-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over two times.
• The Braves' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Matt Olson has five doubles, seven home runs and 28 walks while hitting .221.
• Olson ranks 39th in homers and 52nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Marcell Ozuna has five doubles, five home runs and 33 walks while batting .268.
• Ozuna is 76th in home runs and 159th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Ozzie Albies has four doubles, five home runs and 13 walks while hitting .218.
• Austin Riley has put his power on display as he leads his team with eight home runs and 25 RBI, with a team-high .284 batting average.

Braves Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Pirates had a record of 2-4.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz has swatted a team-high eight long balls.
• Among all batters in MLB, Cruz's home run total ranks 27th and his RBI tally is 84th.
• Andrew McCutchen has a club-leading .250 batting average.
• McCutchen is 148th among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 159th in RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 19 runs batted in.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes has three doubles, a triple, a home run and eight walks while batting .248.

Pirates Team Props

Braves vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on May 10th, 2025.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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