Texas Tech vs. UCF Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 15, 2025

Updated Nov. 15, 2025 3:05 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

The No. 8 Texas Tech Red Raiders (9-1) will test their 17th-ranked pass offense against the UCF Knights (4-5), who have the No. 13 passing defense, on Saturday, November 15, 2025. The Red Raiders are heavily favored by 23.5 points in the game. A 48.5-point over/under is set for the contest.

Last time out, the Red Raiders defeated the BYU Cougars, with 29-7 being the final score. The Knights lost against the Houston Cougars in their most recent game, 30-27.

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Texas Tech vs. UCF Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas
TV: FOX
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Texas Tech vs UCF Betting Information updated as of November 15, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Texas Tech	-23.5 (-114)	-2778	+1250	48.5	-108	-112

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Texas Tech vs. UCF Prediction

Pick ATS: Texas Tech (-23.5)
Pick OU: Under (48.5)
Prediction: Texas Tech 39, UCF 9

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. the UCF Knights game on FOX Sports!

Texas Tech vs. UCF Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Red Raiders 36, Knights 12.
The Red Raiders have a 96.5% chance to claim victory in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Knights have a 7.4% implied probability.
Texas Tech has won nine games against the spread this season, while failing to cover once.
UCF is 4-5-0 ATS this season.

Texas Tech vs. UCF: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Texas Tech	UCF
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	42.1 (2)	27.2 (76)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	12.6 (5)	20 (24)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	12 (69)	12 (69)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	23 (3)	13 (46)

Texas Tech 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Cameron Dickey	RB	869 YDS / 11 TD / 86.9 YPG / 5.5 YPC 15 REC / 161 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17.9 REC YPG
J'Koby Williams	RB	600 YDS / 5 TD / 60 YPG / 5.8 YPC 22 REC / 333 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 41.6 REC YPG
Behren Morton	QB	1,969 YDS (65.7%) / 16 TD / 4 INT
Will Hammond	QB	680 YDS (63.3%) / 7 TD / 3 INT 299 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 37.4 RUSH YPG
Jacob Rodriguez	LB	80 TKL / 6 TFL / 1 SACK / 3 INT
David Bailey	LB	30 TKL / 11 TFL / 11.5 SACK
Ben Roberts	LB	56 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Romello Height	LB	23 TKL / 4 TFL / 6 SACK

UCF 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jaden Nixon	RB	485 YDS / 7 TD / 53.9 YPG / 10.5 YPC 13 REC / 86 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 12.3 REC YPG
Myles Montgomery	RB	595 YDS / 4 TD / 66.1 YPG / 5 YPC 14 REC / 151 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 16.8 REC YPG
Tayven Jackson	QB	1,470 YDS (61.8%) / 5 TD / 5 INT 84 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 10.5 RUSH YPG
Duane Thomas Jr.	WR	40 REC / 402 YDS / 0 TD / 44.7 YPG
Phillip Dunnam	DB	43 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Malachi Lawrence	DL	21 TKL / 7 TFL / 7 SACK
Nyjalik Kelly	DL	33 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 1 INT
Cole Kozlowski	LB	43 TKL / 4 TFL / 2 SACK