TCU vs. North Carolina Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 1, 2025

Updated Sep. 1, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The North Carolina Tar Heels (0-0) are 3.5-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Monday, September 1, 2025 against the TCU Horned Frogs (0-0). The game has an over/under of 54.5 points.

The Horned Frogs finished 9-4 last year and won the New Mexico Bowl. They scored 33.5 points per game (23rd in college football) and allowed 24.6 (62nd). Last year, the Tar Heels lost the Fenway Bowl after going 6-7 during the regular season. On offense they averaged 30.9 points per game (43rd in college football), and they gave up 28.1 per game (89th in college football) on defense.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

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TCU vs. North Carolina Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, September 1, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
Location: Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
TV: ESPN
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

TCU vs North Carolina Betting Information updated as of September 1, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
TCU	-3.5 (-111)	-179	+149	54.5	-108	-112

TCU vs. North Carolina Prediction

Pick ATS: TCU (-3.5)
Pick OU: Over (54.5)
Prediction: TCU 34, North Carolina 25

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the TCU Horned Frogs vs. the North Carolina Tar Heels game on FOX Sports!

TCU vs. North Carolina Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Horned Frogs 29, Tar Heels 26.
The Horned Frogs have a 64.2% chance to win this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Tar Heels have a 40.2% implied probability.
TCU went 6-7-0 ATS last season.
North Carolina went 3-9-1 ATS last year.

TCU vs. North Carolina: 2024 Stats Comparison

	TCU	North Carolina
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	33.5 (28)	30.9 (43)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	24.6 (67)	28.1 (97)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	22 (107)	17 (54)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	16 (77)	15 (88)

TCU 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Josh Hoover	QB	3,949 YDS (66.5%) / 27 TD / 11 INT -19 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / -1.5 RUSH YPG
Savion Williams	WR	60 REC / 611 YDS / 6 TD / 50.9 YPG
Jack Bech	WR	62 REC / 1,034 YDS / 9 TD / 86.2 YPG
Eric McAlister	WR	39 REC / 762 YDS / 5 TD / 63.5 YPG
Namdi Obiazor	LB	69 TKL / 5 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 1 INT
Bud Clark	DB	56 TKL / 0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Johnny Hodges	LB	71 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Devean Deal	LB	38 TKL / 8 TFL / 5.5 SACK

North Carolina 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Omarion Hampton	RB	1,660 YDS / 15 TD / 138.3 YPG / 5.9 YPC 38 REC / 373 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 31.1 REC YPG
Jacolby Criswell	QB	2,459 YDS (58.1%) / 15 TD / 6 INT 103 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 7.9 RUSH YPG
J.J. Jones	WR	36 REC / 582 YDS / 6 TD / 44.8 YPG
Davion Gause	RB	326 YDS / 4 TD / 27.2 YPG / 4.9 YPC
Amare Campbell	LB	69 TKL / 9 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Antavious Lane	DB	78 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK
Beau Atkinson	DL	35 TKL / 11 TFL / 7.5 SACK
Kaleb Cost	DB	60 TKL / 2 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 2 INT