South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 11

Updated Nov. 11, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The South Alabama Jaguars (4-5) are two-touchdown favorites when they host the Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-4) in a Sun Belt matchup on Saturday, November 11, 2023 at Hancock Whitney Stadium. The game's point total is 55.

The Jaguars' last game was against the Troy Trojans, and they lost by a score of 28-10. Against the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns in their most recent game, the Red Wolves won 37-17.

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 5:00 PM ET
Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Alabama
TV: ESPN+
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

South Alabama vs Arkansas State Betting Information updated as of November 11, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
South Alabama	-14 (-110)	-609	+438	55	-109	-110

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Prediction

Pick ATS: Arkansas State (+14)
Pick OU: Over (55)
Prediction: South Alabama 35, Arkansas State 21

Learn more about the South Alabama Jaguars vs. the Arkansas State Red Wolves game on FOX Sports!

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Jaguars 34, Red Wolves 20.
The Jaguars have an 85.9% chance to win this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Red Wolves hold an 18.6% implied probability.
South Alabama has put together a 3-6-0 ATS record so far this year.
Arkansas State has compiled a 4-4-1 record against the spread this season.

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Head-to-Head

Over their last two meetings, South Alabama has tallied two wins versus Arkansas State.
In those contests versus Arkansas State, the Jaguars have covered two times while never hitting the over on the point total.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, South Alabama has racked up 62 points versus Arkansas State, while surrendering only 16 points.

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: 2023 Stats Comparison

	South Alabama	Arkansas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	30.9 (45)	24.6 (92)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	21.9 (39)	31.9 (109)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	15 (95)	9 (22)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	13 (57)	7 (125)

South Alabama 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
La'Damian Webb	RB	727 YDS / 14 TD / 80.8 YPG / 5.4 YPC 18 REC / 108 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 12.0 REC YPG
Caullin Lacy	WR	64 REC / 1,046 YDS / 6 TD / 116.2 YPG
Carter Bradley	QB	2,156 YDS (65.7%) / 13 TD / 7 INT -9 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -1.0 RUSH YPG
Jamaal Pritchett	WR	41 REC / 600 YDS / 3 TD / 66.7 YPG
Quentin Wilfawn	LB	45 TKL / 8.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
Trey Kiser	N/A	37 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Jaden Voisin	S	32 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Khalil Jacobs	LB	27 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK

Arkansas State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jaylen Raynor	QB	1,648 YDS (59.3%) / 13 TD / 4 INT 324 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 36.0 RUSH YPG
Courtney Jackson	WR	25 REC / 480 YDS / 6 TD / 53.3 YPG
Ja'Quez Cross	RB	470 YDS / 3 TD / 52.2 YPG / 5.7 YPC 17 REC / 114 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 12.7 REC YPG
Zak Wallace	RB	435 YDS / 4 TD / 48.3 YPG / 4.2 YPC
Javante Mackey	LB	50 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Keyron Crawford	DE	31 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Trevian Thomas	S	46 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Charles Willekes	LB	43 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK