Michigan vs. Wisconsin Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 4, 2025

Updated Oct. 4, 2025 9:05 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 20 Michigan Wolverines (3-1) are massive, 17-point favorites at home at Michigan Stadium against the Wisconsin Badgers (2-2) on Saturday, October 4, 2025. Both squads feature stingy rush defenses, with the Wolverines ninth against the run in the nation, and the Badgers first defending the running game. The contest's over/under is set at 43.5.

The Wolverines beat the Nebraska Cornhuskers, 30-27, in their most recent game. The Badgers lost against the Maryland Terrapins in their last game, 27-10.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Michigan vs. Wisconsin Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Michigan
TV: FOX
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Michigan vs Wisconsin Betting Information updated as of October 4, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Michigan	-17 (-110)	-943	+625	43.5	-110	-110

Michigan vs. Wisconsin Prediction

Pick ATS: Michigan (-17)
Pick OU: Over (43.5)
Prediction: Michigan 37, Wisconsin 9

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Michigan Wolverines vs. the Wisconsin Badgers game on FOX Sports!

Michigan vs. Wisconsin Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Wolverines 30, Badgers 13.
The Wolverines have a 90.4% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Badgers hold a 13.8% implied probability.
Michigan has covered twice in four games with a spread this season.
Wisconsin has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this season.

Michigan vs. Wisconsin: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Michigan	Wisconsin
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	35 (61)	20.8 (120)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	17.8 (26)	18.8 (31)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	3 (18)	6 (74)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	8 (24)	3 (111)

Michigan 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Justice Haynes	RB	537 YDS / 6 TD / 134.3 YPG / 8.1 YPC
Bryce Underwood	QB	733 YDS (56.9%) / 2 TD / 1 INT 169 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 42.3 RUSH YPG
Jordan Marshall	RB	189 YDS / 3 TD / 47.3 YPG / 5.3 YPC
Semaj Morgan	WR	11 REC / 143 YDS / 1 TD / 35.8 YPG
Cole Sullivan	LB	11 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT
Jaishawn Barham	LB	10 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Jimmy Rolder	LB	11 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Troy Bowles	LB	5 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK

Wisconsin 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Danny O'Neil	QB	640 YDS (70.6%) / 5 TD / 5 INT 24 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 6 RUSH YPG
Vinny Anthony	WR	12 REC / 161 YDS / 1 TD / 40.3 YPG
Lance Mason	TE	14 REC / 177 YDS / 2 TD / 44.3 YPG
Jayden Ballard	WR	7 REC / 150 YDS / 2 TD / 37.5 YPG
Christian Alliegro	LB	18 TKL / 4 TFL / 2 SACK
Tackett Curtis	LB	14 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Preston Zachman	DB	7 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Mason Reiger	LB	8 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK