Cal vs. North Carolina Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 17, 2025

Updated Oct. 17, 2025 9:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Oddsmakers give the California Golden Bears (4-2) the edge when they host the North Carolina Tar Heels (2-3) on Friday, October 17, 2025 in a matchup between ACC opponents at California Memorial Stadium. Cal is favored by 7.5 points. The total for this game has been set at 47.5 points.

Against the Duke Blue Devils in their last contest, the Golden Bears lost 45-21. In their most recent game, the Tar Heels lost versus the Clemson Tigers, 38-10.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Cal vs. North Carolina Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, October 17, 2025 at 10:30 p.m. ET
Location: California Memorial Stadium in Berkeley, California
TV: ESPN
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Cal vs North Carolina Betting Information updated as of October 17, 2025, 8:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Cal	-7.5 (-112)	-328	+263	47.5	-108	-118

Cal vs. North Carolina Prediction

Pick ATS: Cal (-7.5)
Pick OU: Under (47.5)
Prediction: Cal 33, North Carolina 13

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the California Golden Bears vs. the North Carolina Tar Heels game on FOX Sports!

Cal vs. North Carolina Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Golden Bears 28, Tar Heels 20.
The Golden Bears have a 76.6% chance to claim victory in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Tar Heels have a 27.5% implied probability.
Cal has put together a 3-3-0 record against the spread this season.
North Carolina has a record of 2-3-0 against the spread this season.

Cal vs. North Carolina: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Cal	North Carolina
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	24.2 (99)	18.8 (130)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22.5 (57)	25.8 (51)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	10 (105)	6 (36)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	7 (70)	7 (70)

Cal 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele	QB	1,479 YDS (62%) / 9 TD / 7 INT -19 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -3.2 RUSH YPG
Kendrick Raphael	RB	423 YDS / 4 TD / 70.5 YPG / 4.5 YPC
Trond Grizzell	WR	24 REC / 400 YDS / 1 TD / 66.7 YPG
Mason Mini	TE	26 REC / 279 YDS / 3 TD / 46.5 YPG
Cade Uluave	LB	37 TKL / 5 TFL / 1 SACK
Hezekiah Masses	DB	16 TKL / 1 TFL / 4 INT / 4 PD
Luke Ferrelli	LB	23 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
TJ Bush	LB	13 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK

North Carolina 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Demon June	RB	266 YDS / 1 TD / 66.5 YPG / 7 YPC
Jordan Shipp	WR	18 REC / 234 YDS / 2 TD / 46.8 YPG
Gio Lopez	QB	430 YDS (62.7%) / 3 TD / 3 INT 69 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 17.3 RUSH YPG
Max Johnson	QB	383 YDS (63.9%) / 2 TD / 0 INT
Andrew Simpson	LB	28 TKL / 4 TFL / 2 SACK
Mikai Gbayor	LB	19 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Kaleb Cost	DB	23 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Melkart Abou-Jaoude	DL	14 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK