Michigan State vs. Oregon Prediction, Odds, Picks - Big Ten Tournament

Updated Mar. 14, 2025 10:27 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 8 seed Oregon Ducks (24-8, 12-8 Big Ten) will play in the Big Ten tournament against the No. 1 seed Michigan State Spartans (26-5, 17-3 Big Ten) on Friday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, starting at 12 p.m. ET.

The Spartans are a 6.5-point favorite against the Ducks when the Spartans and the Ducks square off. The over/under for the matchup is set at 141.5.

Keep scrolling to get all you need to know before placing bets on the Michigan State-Oregon clash.

Michigan State vs. Oregon Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, March 14, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET
Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
How to watch on TV: Big Ten Network
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Spartans vs Ducks Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Spartans	-6.5	-105	-115	141.5	-108	-112	-290	+235

Michigan State vs. Oregon Prediction

Pick ATS: Oregon (+6.5)
Pick OU: Over (141.5)
Prediction: Michigan State 76, Oregon 71

Learn more about the Michigan State Spartans vs. the Oregon Ducks game on FOX Sports!

Michigan State vs. Oregon Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Spartans 74, Ducks 68.
The Spartans have a 74.4% chance to claim victory in this game per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Ducks have a 29.9% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

Michigan State has put together a 20-10-1 record against the spread this season.
Oregon has put together a 15-16-0 record against the spread this season.
When playing as at least 6.5-point favorites this season, Michigan State has an ATS record of 11-6.
When playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs this year, Oregon has an ATS record of 3-1.

Key Total Facts

The Spartans and their opponent have broken the 141.5-point mark 16 times this season.
Ducks games have gone over 141.5 points on 21 occasions this season.
These teams score 155 points per game combined, higher than the over/under for this matchup by 13.5.

Key Moneyline Facts

Michigan State is 21-3 in games when it was listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 87.5%).
This season, Oregon has won four out of the seven games in which it has been the underdog.
Michigan State has a record of 15-1 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -290 or shorter (winning 93.8%).
Oregon has a record of 2-2 when it is set as the underdog by +235 or more by bookmakers this season.

Michigan State vs. Oregon: Recent Results

Spartans vs Ducks Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
2/8/2025	Spartans	-8	147	-395	+310	86-74 MST

Michigan State vs. Oregon: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Michigan State	Oregon
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	78.4 (71)	76.6 (102)
Points Allowed (Rank)	67 (44)	70.8 (144)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.5 (54)	8.3 (231)
3pt Made (Rank)	5.9 (337)	7.8 (161)
Assists (Rank)	17.1 (14)	14.7 (94)
Turnovers (Rank)	10.9 (149)	10.4 (109)

Michigan State 2024-25 Key Players

Spartans Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Jaden Akins	31	12.9	3.7	1.6	0.8	0.3	1.5
Jase Richardson	30	11.6	3.1	2	0.8	0.3	1.1
Tre Holloman	31	9.1	1.9	3.8	0.8	0.3	1.3
Jaxon Kohler	31	8.1	7.8	1.3	0.4	0.8	0.5
Coen Carr	31	7.6	3.3	0.5	0.5	0.7	0.1

Oregon 2024-25 Key Players

Ducks Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Nathan Bittle	32	13.9	7.3	2	0.8	2.2	1
Jackson Shelstad	32	13.4	3	2.7	1	0	1.9
TJ Bamba	32	10.4	3.4	2.9	1.8	0.2	0.7
Keeshawn Barthelemy	32	10.2	2.4	2.7	1.1	0.2	1.8
Brandon Angel	32	8.6	4	1.1	0.4	0.3	0.7