Michigan State vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Round

Updated Mar. 21, 2024 10:27 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

A first-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the No. 9-seed Michigan State Spartans (19-14) play against the No. 8 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-13) on Thursday at Spectrum Center. The contest tips off at 12:15 PM ET, on CBS.

The Spartans are only a 1-point favorite against the Bulldogs when the Spartans and Bulldogs face off in a game oddsmakers expect to be a close matchup. The matchup's over/under is set at 130.5.

Keep reading to get the details before placing bets on the Michigan State-Mississippi State matchup.

Michigan State vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 21, 2024 at 12:15 PM ET
Where: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
How to Watch on TV: CBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Spartans vs Bulldogs Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Spartans	-1	-112	-108	130.5	-112	-108	-122	+102

Michigan State vs. Mississippi State Prediction

Pick ATS: Michigan State (-1)
Pick OU: Over (130.5)
Prediction: Michigan State 72, Mississippi State 70

Learn more about the Michigan State Spartans vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Michigan State vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Spartans 66, Bulldogs 65.
The Spartans have a 55.0% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Bulldogs hold a 49.5% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Michigan State has compiled an 18-14-1 record against the spread this season.
Mississippi State has put together a 17-16-1 ATS record so far this year.
Michigan State has covered the spread 15 times this season (15-11 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
Mississippi State has an ATS record of 4-6 when playing as at least 1-point underdogs this year.

Key Total Facts

The Spartans and their opponent have broken the 130.5-point mark 21 times this year.
There have been 22 Bulldogs games this season with more than 130.5 points scored.
The total for this matchup is 130.5 points, 17.4 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams.

Key Moneyline Facts

Michigan State has won 15 of 25 games when the moneyline favorite this season (60%).
Mississippi State has been underdogs in 13 games this season and won six (46.2%) of those contests.
Michigan State has a record of 14-10 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -122 or shorter (winning 58.3%).
Mississippi State has a record of 8-6, a 57.1% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +102 or more by bookmakers this season.

Michigan State vs. Mississippi State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	Michigan State	Mississippi State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	73.1 (189)	74.8 (141)
Points Allowed (Rank)	65.9 (24)	69.1 (90)
Rebounds (Rank)	8.7 (167)	10.7 (40)
3pt Made (Rank)	6.4 (279)	7.2 (209)
Assists (Rank)	16.3 (26)	13.9 (117)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.3 (26)	12.3 (281)

Michigan State 2023-24 Key Players

Spartans Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Tyson Walker	32	18.2	2.9	2.9	1.8	0.1	1.8
Malik Hall	33	12.6	5.6	2	0.5	0.3	0.6
A.J Hoggard	33	11	3.1	5.2	1.5	0.3	0.7
Jaden	33	10.2	3.8	1.2	1.2	0.4	1.8
Tre Holloman	33	5.8	1.6	2.5	0.6	0.3	1

Mississippi State 2023-24 Key Players

Bulldogs Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Josh Hubbard	34	17.1	2.1	1.7	0.7	0.1	3.1
Tolu Smith	22	15.2	8.4	1.3	0.6	0.4	0
Cameron Matthews	34	9.5	6.9	2.9	2	0.7	0.1
Shakeel Moore	32	8	2.2	1.8	0.9	0.2	0.9
Dashawn Davis	34	6.7	1.8	2.6	1.6	0.1	0.9