Florida vs. Houston Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament National Championship

Updated Apr. 7, 2025 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The national championship will be earned after the Florida Gators (35-4) and Houston Cougars (35-4) play in the final game of the NCAA Tournament on Monday at Alamodome, beginning at 8:50 p.m. ET.

The Gators face the Cougars in a game expected to be a tight one. The Gators are favored by only 1 point against the Cougars. The matchup's over/under is set at 140.5.

Keep reading to get the details ahead of wagering on the Florida-Houston game.

Florida vs. Houston Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, April 7, 2025 at 8:50 p.m. ET
Where: Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas
How to watch on TV: CBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Gators vs Cougars Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Gators	-1	-108	-112	140.5	-110	-110	-115	-105

Florida vs. Houston Prediction

Pick ATS: Houston (+1)
Pick OU: Over (140.5)
Prediction: Houston 72, Florida 71

Learn more about the Florida Gators vs. the Houston Cougars game on FOX Sports!

Florida vs. Houston Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Gators 71, Cougars 70.
The Gators have a 53.5% chance to collect the win in this game per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Cougars sit with a 51.2% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

Florida has put together a 28-10-0 ATS record so far this year.
Houston has put together a 21-17-0 ATS record so far this season.
Florida has been favored by 1 point or more 33 times this season, and covered the spread in 25 of those contests.
Houston has won each of its two games this season when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

The Gators games have had more than 140.5 points scored on 31 occasions this year.
Cougars games have had over 140.5 points 10 times this year.
These two teams score a combined average of 159.2 points per game, higher than the total for this matchup by 18.7 points.

Key Moneyline Facts

Florida has won 93.8% of its games this season when the moneyline favorite (30-2).
Houston has won both games it has played as underdogs this season.
Florida has gone 30-2 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -115 or shorter (winning 93.8%).
Houston has played as an underdog of -105 or more twice this season and won both games.

Florida vs. Houston: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Florida	Houston
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	85.3 (3)	73.9 (175)
Points Allowed (Rank)	69.8 (103)	58.5 (1)
Rebounds (Rank)	12.4 (6)	11.1 (33)
3pt Made (Rank)	9.8 (28)	8.2 (121)
Assists (Rank)	15.5 (59)	12.2 (279)
Turnovers (Rank)	10.5 (120)	8.4 (3)

Florida 2024-25 Key Players

Gators Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Walter Clayton Jr.	38	18.5	3.7	4.1	1.2	0.5	3.1
Alijah Martin	37	14.6	4.6	2.2	1.6	0.2	2.1
Will Richard	39	13.2	4.5	1.8	1.6	0.3	1.9
Alex Condon	36	10.5	7.6	2.3	0.8	1.4	0.5
Thomas Haugh	39	9.9	6.2	2.2	0.8	0.7	0.9

Houston 2024-25 Key Players

Cougars Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
LJ Cryer	39	15.6	2.3	2	0.9	0.1	3.1
Emanuel Sharp	36	12.8	3	0.8	1.4	0	2.4
Milos Uzan	39	11.5	3	4.3	0.9	0.1	1.6
J'wan Roberts	36	10.7	6.5	1.8	1	0.7	0
Terrance Arceneaux	39	6.6	2.8	0.7	0.9	0.3	0.7