WhatIfSports 2014 College Football Week 2 Predictions

BY foxsports • December 24, 2016

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine provides game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. 

Check out our 2014 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Michigan State at Oregon

We'll get more details as we learned more about the statistical DNA of the team when they don't play little sisters of poor.

It didn't take long for Spartan Nation to hold their collective breath. Quarterback Connor Cook was forced to leave their Week 1 game on the second pass of the season (which resulted in a touchdown) after this knee bent awkwardly following a hit. He needed assistance to get off the field and most of those who saw the injury thought Cook's season was finished. It wasn't. Cook returned and torched Jacksonville State for 285 yards with three touchdown with only one incompletion. The rushing attack racked up over 200 yards on 50 carries with three more trips to the end zone.

As is the case with early-season cupcake opponents, it's hard to gauge exactly what this MSU team can do against an opponent like Oregon on the road. The Spartans' defense held Jacksonville to 244 total yards. The unit finished the 2013 season ranked inside the top three nationally in scoring and total defense.

Twenty-three hundred miles to the West, Heisman Trophy hopeful Marcus Mariota (MARR-ee-oo-tah) torched South Dakota for 267 yards through the air with three touchdowns and another score coming on the ground before passing the baton to Jeff Lockie. His favorite target on the afternoon was Byron Marshall with eight receptions for 138 yards and two touchdowns.

Oregon - known more for its offense in recent years - ranked inside the top 15 in points allowed nationally last season.

One of the more enjoyable stats / trends heading into the contest comes from Andrew Greif from Oregon Live who dropped this nugget - The Spartans are 49-18 against non-conference opponents since 1999, a season that began with Michigan State -- then coached by Nick Saban -- beating Oregon, 27-20, in East Lansing, Mich. The programs are 2-2 against one another all-time.

We simulated the Spartans and Ducks 101 times and it's Oregon winning 53.5 percent of the time by an average score of 22-21.

College Football Week 2 Predictions
Matchup Win% Avg Score  
Citadel Bulldogs 5.0 7 Boxscore
Florida State Seminoles 95.0 55  
South Carolina State Bulldogs 5.0 7 Boxscore
Clemson Tigers 95.0 51  
Richmond Spiders 5.0 8 Boxscore
Virginia Cavaliers 95.0 42  
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 5.0 9 Boxscore
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 95.0 38  
Murray State Racers 5.0 8 Boxscore
Louisville Cardinals 95.0 45  
Florida A&M Rattlers 5.0 8 Boxscore
Miami (FL) Hurricanes 95.0 49  
San Diego State Aztecs 22.8 20 Boxscore
North Carolina Tar Heels 77.2 27  
Old Dominion Monarchs 29.7 24 Boxscore
North Carolina State Wolfpack 70.3 30  
Pittsburgh Panthers 67.8 25 Boxscore
@ Boston College Eagles 32.2 20  
McNeese State Cowboys 5.0 8 Boxscore
Nebraska Cornhuskers 95.0 48  
Howard Bison 5.0 8 Boxscore
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 95.0 43  
Western Illinois Leathernecks 5.0 8 Boxscore
Wisconsin Badgers 95.0 50  
Akron Zips 23.8 18 Boxscore
Penn State Nittany Lions 76.2 26  
Ball State Cardinals 38.1 22 Boxscore
Iowa Hawkeyes 61.9 26  
Virginia Tech Hokies 41.6 18 Boxscore
Ohio State Buckeyes 58.4 21  
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 46.5 22 Boxscore
Minnesota Golden Gophers 53.5 23  
Central Michigan Chippewas 48.5 23 Boxscore
Purdue Boilermakers 51.5 24  
Northern Illinois Huskies 54.5 23 Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats 45.5 22  
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 62.9 31 Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini 37.1 26  
VMI Keydets 5.0 9 Boxscore
Bowling Green Falcons 95.0 46  
Eastern Kentucky Colonels 5.0 9 Boxscore
Miami (OH) RedHawks 95.0 31  
South Alabama Jaguars 65.8 27 Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes 34.2 24  
Missouri Tigers 66.3 26 Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets 33.7 22  
Colorado Buffaloes 73.3 26 Boxscore
@ Massachusetts Minutemen 26.7 18  
Eastern Washington Eagles 5.0 7 Boxscore
Washington Huskies 95.0 47  
Sacramento State Hornets 5.0 9 Boxscore
California Golden Bears 95.0 45  
Memphis Tigers 23.8 19 Boxscore
UCLA Bruins 76.2 28  
Michigan State Spartans 46.5 21 Boxscore
Oregon Ducks 53.5 22  
USC Trojans 47.5 22 Boxscore
Stanford Cardinal 52.5 24  
Fresno State Bulldogs 47.0 23 Boxscore
Utah Utes 53.0 24  
Nicholls Colonels 5.0 8 Boxscore
Arkansas Razorbacks 95.0 42  
Sam Houston State Bearkats 5.0 8 Boxscore
LSU Tigers 95.0 48  
Lamar Cardinals 5.0 8 Boxscore
Texas A&M Aggies 95.0 54  
Florida Atlantic Owls 16.8 14 Boxscore
Alabama Crimson Tide 83.2 29  
UAB Blazers 18.8 19 Boxscore
Mississippi State Bulldogs 81.2 29  
San Jose State Spartans 19.8 21 Boxscore
Auburn Tigers 80.2 33  
Eastern Michigan Eagles 20.8 14 Boxscore
Florida Gators 79.2 28  
East Carolina Pirates 28.7 20 Boxscore
South Carolina Gamecocks 71.3 27  
Arkansas State Red Wolves 34.7 19 Boxscore
Tennessee Volunteers 65.3 25  
Ohio Bobcats 44.6 21 Boxscore
Kentucky Wildcats 55.4 22  
Ole Miss Rebels 68.3 23 Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores 31.7 16  
Michigan Wolverines 38.6 20 Boxscore
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 61.4 24  
Buffalo Bulls 58.4 24 Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights 41.6 23  
Missouri State Bears 5.0 9 Boxscore
Oklahoma State Cowboys 95.0 49  
Northwestern State Demons 5.0 9 Boxscore
Baylor Bears 95.0 51  
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 5.0 8 Boxscore
Kansas Jayhawks 95.0 40  
Towson Tigers 5.0 9 Boxscore
West Virginia Mountaineers 95.0 45  
BYU Cougars 45.5 22 Boxscore
Texas Longhorns 54.5 23  
Kansas State Wildcats 77.2 28 Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones 22.8 18  
Alcorn State Braves 5.0 8 Boxscore
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 95.0 38  
Rhode Island Rams 5.0 9 Boxscore
Marshall Thundering Herd 95.0 49  
Wagner Seahawks 5.0 8 Boxscore
FIU Golden Panthers 95.0 30  
SMU Mustangs 44.6 22 Boxscore
North Texas Mean Green 55.4 25  
Arizona Wildcats 56.9 26 Boxscore
@ UTSA Roadrunners 43.1 22  
Texas Tech Red Raiders 83.2 33 Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners 16.8 23  
Idaho State Bengals 5.0 9 Boxscore
Utah State Aggies 95.0 43  
Northern Colorado Bears 5.0 7 Boxscore
UNLV Rebels 95.0 42  
Colorado State Rams 31.7 26 Boxscore
Boise State Broncos 68.3 31  
Air Force Falcons 49.0 27 Boxscore
Wyoming Cowboys 51.0 28  
Washington State Cougars 53.5 29 Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack 46.5 27  
Oregon State Beavers 77.2 31 Boxscore
@ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 22.8 22  
Arizona State Sun Devils 78.2 32 Boxscore
@ New Mexico Lobos 21.8 23  
Campbell Fighting Camels 5.0 8 Boxscore
Appalachian State Mountaineers 95.0 40  
Savannah State Tigers 5.0 8 Boxscore
Georgia Southern Eagles 95.0 39  
Idaho Vandals 25.7 21 Boxscore
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 74.3 28  
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 41.6 23 Boxscore
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 58.4 27  
New Mexico State Aggies 49.5 26 Boxscore
Georgia State Panthers 50.5 27  
Duke Blue Devils 74.3 32 Boxscore
@ Troy Trojans 25.7 23  
Stony Brook Seawolves 5.0 6 Boxscore
Connecticut Huskies 95.0 42  
Grambling State Tigers 5.0 7 Boxscore
Houston Cougars 95.0 44  
Navy Midshipmen 53.5 25 Boxscore
@ Temple Owls 46.5 24  
Maryland Terrapins 57.4 23 Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls 42.6 21  
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 64.4 24 Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave 35.6 17  
Oklahoma Sooners 83.2 29 Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane 16.8 17  

For additional statistics, view our weekly college football predictions.



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