College Basketball
Iowa State vs. Iowa Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel
College Basketball

Iowa State vs. Iowa Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel

Published Dec. 11, 2025 9:06 a.m. ET

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The No. 4 Iowa State Cyclones (9-0) will try to extend a nine-game winning streak when they host the Iowa Hawkeyes (8-1) on Thursday, December 11, 2025 at James H. Hilton Coliseum.

Continue scrolling to get everything you need to know ahead of placing bets on the Iowa State-Iowa contest.

Iowa State vs. Iowa How to Watch & Odds

Iowa State vs. Iowa Prediction

Iowa State enters tonight’s matchup against Iowa as the team with momentum. The Cyclones are riding a nine-game winning streak and are favored by 11.5 points. Their offense has been one of the most explosive in the country, averaging 94.6 points per game, the eighth-highest mark in NCAA men’s basketball. Milan Momcilovic and Joshua Jefferson continue to lead the way, with Momcilovic averaging 18.3 points per game and Jefferson adding 17.6.

Iowa is coming off a strong showing against Maryland, highlighted by Bennett Stirtz’s 25-point performance. The Hawkeyes have shown scoring upside, but they have also struggled in spots, including a 19-point loss to Michigan State earlier this season. Iowa State’s defense has been one of the Cyclones’ strengths and has routinely slowed high-level opponents, which could make things difficult for the Hawkeyes.

With Iowa State’s offensive rhythm and defensive consistency, the Cyclones are positioned well heading into this rivalry matchup.

  • Pick ATS: Iowa (+12.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (143.5)
  • Prediction: Iowa State 80, Iowa 71

Prediction provided by FOX Sports' Sports AI. Download the FOX Sports App for free access to Sports AI.

 

Iowa State vs. Iowa Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Cyclones 78, Hawkeyes 66.
  • The Cyclones have a 90.8% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Hawkeyes sit with a 13.5% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

  • Iowa State has covered seven times in nine games with a spread this season.
  • Iowa has won seven games against the spread this year, while failing to cover twice.
  • Iowa State has an ATS record of 3-1 when playing as at least 12.5-point favorites this season.

Key Total Facts

  • The Cyclones and their opponent have broken the 143.5-point mark six times this season.
  • There have been four Hawkeyes games this year with more than 143.5 points scored.
  • These two teams score a combined average of 174.5 points per game, higher than the total for this matchup by 31 points.

Key Moneyline Facts

  • Iowa State has won all six games when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • Iowa lost the only game it has played as the underdog this season.
  • Iowa State has played as a moneyline favorite of -990 or shorter twice this season, and won both.
  • Iowa has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +643.

Iowa State vs. Iowa: Recent Results

Cyclones vs Hawkeyes Recent Games
DateFavoriteSpreadTotalFavorite MoneylineUnderdog MoneylineResult
12/12/2024Cyclones-5.5160.5-241+19789-80 IOWAST
 

Iowa State vs. Iowa: 2025-26 Stats Comparison

 Iowa StateIowa
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)94.6 (7)79.9 (137)
Points Allowed (Rank)64.6 (19)62.6 (12)
Rebounds (Rank)9.7 (178)7.7 (321)
3pt Made (Rank)10.2 (42)8 (174)
Assists (Rank)19.2 (16)16.8 (66)
Turnovers (Rank)9.9 (53)9.3 (25)
 

Iowa State 2025-26 Key Players

Cyclones Leaders
NameGPPTSREBASSTSTLBLK3PM
Milan Momcilovic918.32.91.31.604.1
Joshua Jefferson917.66.75.41.40.71
Tamin Lipsey616.83.85.72.70.21.5
Killyan Toure9122.92.42.20.21
Blake Buchanan98.95.71.60.91.20

Iowa 2025-26 Key Players

Hawkeyes Leaders
NameGPPTSREBASSTSTLBLK3PM
Bennett Stirtz918.82.64.91.80.12.6
Cooper Koch98.8410.80.11.6
Tavion Banks98.64.111.10.30.2
Alvaro Folgueiras98.342.31.10.31.3
Cam Manyawu97.94.30.90.80.40
 

FOX Sports used technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar to create this story.

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