
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 4
The upcoming fixture list in the Premier League includes first-place Liverpool FC at eighth-place Chelsea FC -- both coming off defeats -- on Saturday, October 4 at 12:30 PM ET. Our game prediction can be found below.
Liverpool is second in the Premier League in goals scored (12 overall, two per game), and Chelsea is 10th in goals conceded (eight overall, 1.3 per game). With 11 goals in 6 games, Chelsea is fourth in the Premier League. On the flip side, Liverpool has conceded seven goals in 6 games, ninth in the league. In terms of goal differential, Liverpool is fourth in the Premier League at +5. Chelsea has outscored opponents 11-8, and its +3 goal differential is sixth in the Premier League.
Liverpool's last game was a 2-1 defeat away from home against Crystal Palace, taking 18 shots and outshooting Crystal Palace by two. Federico Chiesa scored his side's goal to lead the team against Crystal Palace. In its most recent game on September 27, Chelsea suffered a 3-1 home loss to Brighton & Hove Albion, while putting up four more shots than Brighton & Hove Albion. Chelsea's Enzo Fernandez scored its only goal (on four shots) in the match.
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Liverpool vs. Chelsea Odds & Betting Lines
| Moneyline Favorite | Moneyline Underdog | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool +130 | Chelsea +186 | 3.5 | +124 | -161 |
Liverpool vs. Chelsea Prediction & Pick
- Moneyline Pick: Liverpool +130
- Total Pick: Under 3.5 goals
- Score Prediction: Liverpool 2, Chelsea 1
Liverpool vs. Chelsea Match Info
- Match Day: Saturday, October 4, 2025
- Match Time: 12:30 PM ET
- Location: London, England
- Stadium: Stamford Bridge
- TV: Universo, NBC (DirecTV SAT (DVB-S)), Peacock Premium, Fubo TV
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Liverpool's Moneyline Performance
- So far this season, Liverpool has been favored in six matches, and won five.
- Thus far this season, Liverpool (+130) has been at least this big a favorite five times, and won four.
- Liverpool has a 43.5% chance of winning this match, based on the moneyline.
Liverpool's Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Ekitike | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Mohamed Salah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
| Ryan Gravenberch | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| Cody Gakpo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 |
| Federico Chiesa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Liverpool's Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 9/27/2025 | A | L | 2-1 | 18 | 16 |
| Everton | 9/20/2025 | H | W | 2-1 | 11 | 8 |
| Burnley | 9/14/2025 | A | W | 1-0 | 25 | 2 |
| Arsenal | 8/31/2025 | H | W | 1-0 | 9 | 10 |
| Newcastle | 8/25/2025 | A | W | 3-2 | 5 | 9 |
Chelsea's Moneyline Performance
- Chelsea has been the underdog in one match this season, and won none.
- Thus far this season, Chelsea has not been this big an underdog (+186).
- According to the moneyline, Chelsea's chances of winning this match are 35.0%.
Chelsea's Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 6 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Enzo Fernandez | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 |
| Trevoh Chalobah | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Moisés Caicedo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Marc Cucurella | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
Chelsea's Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 9/27/2025 | H | L | 3-1 | 12 | 8 |
| Manchester United | 9/20/2025 | A | L | 2-1 | 4 | 10 |
| Brentford | 9/13/2025 | A | D | 2-2 | 15 | 8 |
| Fulham | 8/30/2025 | H | W | 2-0 | 14 | 9 |
| West Ham | 8/22/2025 | A | W | 5-1 | 11 | 9 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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