Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 17

Published Jan. 16, 2026 6:55 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Two clubs at opposite ends of the Premier League will clash on Saturday, when fourth-place Liverpool FC hosts 19th-place Burnley FC. Find our prediction for this matchup below.

Liverpool has scored 32 goals in 21 matches this season (eighth in Premier League), and Burnley has allowed 41 goals in 21 games (18th in league). Offensively, Burnley is 15th in the Premier League (22 goals, one per match). And defensively, Liverpool is 10th (28 goals conceded, 1.3 per match). Liverpool has outscored opponents 32-28, and its +4 goal differential is seventh in the Premier League. Burnley is 18th in the Premier League in goal differential at -19.

Liverpool's last game was a 0-0 draw away from home versus Arsenal FC and it was outshot by one in the match, eight to seven. Dominik Szoboszlai took three shots for goalless Liverpool in their game against Arsenal. In its last action on Jan. 7, Burnley drew with Manchester United 2-2 at home, while registering 19 fewer shots than Manchester United. Jaidon Anthony's one goal led Burnley.

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Liverpool vs. Burnley Odds & Betting Lines

Liverpool vs Burnley Betting Information updated as of January 16, 2026, 11:39 a.m. ET.
Moneyline Favorite	Moneyline Underdog	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Liverpool -442	Burnley +1075	2.5	-181	+138

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Liverpool vs. Burnley Prediction & Pick

Moneyline Pick: Liverpool -442
Total Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Score Prediction: Liverpool 3, Burnley 0

Liverpool vs. Burnley Match Info

Match Day: Saturday, January 17, 2026
Match Time: 10 a.m. ET
Location: Liverpool, England
Stadium: Anfield
TV: Universo, USA Network
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Liverpool's Moneyline Performance

Thus far this season, Liverpool has been favored in 19 matches, and won 10.
Liverpool (-442) has not been this big a favorite in a game this season.
Liverpool has an 81.5% chance of winning this match, based on the moneyline.

Liverpool's Key Players

Name	Games	Goals	Assists	Shots	Chances Created
Hugo Ekitike	18	8	3	25	9
Cody Gakpo	18	4	3	25	22
Mohamed Salah	15	4	3	21	30
Ryan Gravenberch	19	4	2	11	12
Florian Wirtz	20	2	1	13	32

Liverpool's Recent Performance

Opponent	Date	Home/Away	Result	Score	Shots	Opp. Shots
Arsenal	1/8/2026	A	D	0-0	7	8
Fulham	1/4/2026	A	D	2-2	9	5
Leeds	1/1/2026	H	D	0-0	16	4
Wolverhampton	12/27/2025	H	W	2-1	14	8
Tottenham	12/20/2025	A	W	2-1	7	11

Burnley's Moneyline Performance

Burnley has been the underdog in 20 matches this season, and won two.
This season Burnley (+1075) has been at least this big an underdog in two games, and won none.
Burnley's chances of winning this match are 8.5%, according to the moneyline.