Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 25

Nikita Kucherov and William Nylander will lead the way for the Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs, respectively, when the two teams clash on Wednesday, Feb. 25 at Benchmark International Arena, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET. Here's everything you need to know about the Lightning-Maple Leafs game, from the puck lined, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game Information and TV Channel

• When: Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida
• TV: TNT
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction

ATS Pick: Lightning (- 1.5)
O/U Pick: Under (6.5)
Score Prediction: Lightning 4 - Maple Leafs 2

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• Tampa Bay's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 24 times.
• Toronto has played 33 games this season with over 6.5 goals.
• These two teams score 6.8 goals per game combined, 0.3 more than this game's total.
• Opponents of these teams average 5.9 goals per game combined, 0.6 fewer than this game's over/under.
• The Lightning are fourth in goals scored in the league, and the Maple Leafs are 14th.
• The Lightning are second in the league in goals conceded, and the Maple Leafs are 28th.

Lightning Stats

• The Lightning score the fourth-most goals in the NHL (195 total, 3.6 per game).
• Defensively, Tampa Bay is one of the stingiest units in NHL action, conceding 138 total goals (2.5 per game) to rank second.
• Their goal differential (+57) makes them second-best in the league.
• The 38 power-play goals Tampa Bay has put up this season (10th-most in NHL) have come on 174 chances.
• The Lightning rank 12th in the league with a 21.84% power-play conversion rate.
• The three shorthanded goals Tampa Bay has scored this season rank 20th among all NHL teams.

Lightning Leaders

Lightning Player Props

Maple Leafs Stats

• With 187 goals (3.3 per game), the Maple Leafs have the league's 14th-ranked offense.
• Toronto's total of 193 goals given up (3.4 per game) ranks 28th in the league.
• Their -6 goal differential is 19th in the league.
• Toronto has 25 power-play goals (31st in NHL) on 133 chances.
• The Maple Leafs have the league's 22nd-ranked power-play percentage (18.8).
• Toronto has scored three shorthanded goals (20th in NHL).

Maple Leafs Leaders

Maple Leafs Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.