Lions vs. Commanders 2024 Divisional Round Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 18
Updated
Jan. 18, 2025 4:43 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
The Detroit Lions and Washington Commanders will feature in the NFC Divisional round of the 2024 NFL Playoffs. The Lions are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -8.5). The over/under for this one is set at 55.5 points.
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Lions vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines
Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lions | -8.5 | -112 | -108 | 55.5 | -110 | -110 |
Lions vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick
- Pick ATS: Lions (-8.5)
- Pick OU: Under (55.5)
- Prediction: Lions 33 - Commanders 19
How to Watch Detroit vs. Washington
- Game Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- Venue: Ford Field
- Location: Detroit, Michigan
- TV: Watch on FOX
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Lions vs. Commanders Recent Matchups
- Detroit has a 4-1 record against Washington in their last five matchups.
- Washington has been outpaced by 28 points in its last five tilts against Detroit.
Detroit Betting Info
- Detroit is 12-4-1 against the spread this season.
- The Lions have covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites.
- Detroit games this year have hit the over on nine of 17 set point totals (52.9%).
- The Lions have compiled a 14-2 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 87.5% of those games).
- Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Lions' implied win probability is 83.3%.
Lions Stats
Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
---|---|---|
Pass yards | 263.2 (4,474) | 2 |
Rush yards | 146.4 (2,488) | 6 |
Points scored | 33.2 (564) | 1 |
Pass yards against | 244 (4,148) | 30 |
Rush yards against | 98.4 (1,672) | 5 |
Points allowed | 20.1 (342) | 7 |
Detroit's Key Players
Offense
- Jared Goff has 4,629 passing yards (second in the NFL), 37 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and 12 interceptions this year. He has completed 72.4% of his attempts, averaging 272.3 yards per game and 8.6 per attempt.
- Jahmyr Gibbs' rushing statline this season includes 1,412 yards (fifth in the NFL) and 16 TDs. He's averaging 83.1 yards per game and 5.6 per attempt (fifth in the NFL).
- Gibbs has 52 receptions on 63 targets for 517 yards. He has four receiving TDs.
- In the passing game, Amon-Ra St. Brown, has totaled 1,263 receiving yards (fifth in the NFL) and 12 touchdowns (third in the NFL) after catching 115 balls (second in the NFL) on 141 targets. Per game, he's averaging 74.3 yards and 6.8 receptions over 17 games.
- David Montgomery has rushed for 775 yards with 12 touchdowns (55.4 yards per game in 14 games).
- He's added 36 catches (on 38 targets) for 341 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 24.4 receiving yards and 2.6 receptions per game.
Defense
- On the defensive side for the Lions, Brian Branch has powered the unit with 109 tackles, eight TFL, one sack, and four interceptions in 2024.
- Jack Campbell has 125 tackles, five TFL, and 1.5 sacks this season.
- Kerby Joseph has collected 82 tackles, one TFL, and nine interceptions this year.
- This season, Za'Darius Smith has 35 tackles, nine TFL, and nine sacks.
Washington Betting Info
- Washington's record against the spread in the regular season was 10-7-0. It has an ATS record of 1-0-0 in the postseason.
- Out of 17 Washington games in the regular season, 11 hit the over. As for the postseason, zero of one games have exceeded the over.
- The Commanders were underdogs in six games during the regular season and won three (50%) of those contests. They've gone 1-0 in the playoffs.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 20.8% chance of a victory for the Commanders.
Commanders Stats
Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
---|---|---|
Pass yards | 215.6 (3,665) | 17 |
Rush yards | 154.1 (2,619) | 3 |
Points scored | 28.5 (485) | 5 |
Pass yards against | 189.8 (3,227) | 3 |
Rush yards against | 137.1 (2,331) | 29 |
Points allowed | 23 (391) | 18 |
Washington's Key Players
Offense
- Jayden Daniels has thrown for 3,568 yards this year, with 25 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and nine interceptions. He is completing 69% of his attempts while averaging 209.9 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
- Daniels has also rushed for six touchdowns and 891 yards (first on the Commanders).
- Terry McLaurin has 82 catches for 1,096 yards and 13 receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL). He has been targeted 117 times and averages 4.8 receptions per game in 17 games played.
- So far this season through 14 games, Brian Robinson Jr. has racked up 799 rushing yards (second on the Commanders) and scored eight rushing touchdowns. He averages 57.1 yards per game and 4.3 per carry (23rd in the NFL).
- In addition to his ground game, Robinson has grabbed 20 passes (on 25 targets) for 159 yards (eighth on the Commanders). He averages 11.4 yards per game.
- Zach Ertz has 654 receiving yards and seven touchdowns from 66 receptions after receiving 91 targets.
Defense
- Frankie Luvu's 2024 showing includes 99 tackles, 12 TFL, eight sacks, and one interception in 17 games. He is third on the Commanders in tackles.
- Bobby Wagner has two sacks to go with 10 TFL and 132 tackles.
- Jeremy Chinn has 107 tackles, seven TFL, two sacks, and one interception in the 2024 campaign. He is second on the Commanders in tackles.
- Mike Sainristil's season stats include 90 tackles, one TFL, and two interceptions in 17 games. He is fourth on the Commanders in tackles.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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