Aaron Rodgers Odds and Prop Bets vs. Bills – NFL Week 1 2023

Published Sep. 11, 2023 6:49 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

Aaron Rodgers' New York Jets will take on the Buffalo Bills at 8:15 PM ET on Monday in Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season. In this piece, we'll break down Rodgers' stats and trends to help you pick out the best bets among his prop bets for this outing.

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Aaron Rodgers vs. Bills Player Props

Pass Yds Over/Under	Pass Yds Over Payout	Pass TDs Over/Under	Pass TDs Over Payout	Rush Yds Over/Under	Rush Yds Over Payout
233.5	0	1.5	+110	3.5	0

Aaron Rodgers vs. Buffalo Game Info

Matchup: New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills
Game Day: September 11, 2023
Game Time: 8:15 PM
Passing Yards Prop: Over 233.5 (0)
Rushing Yards Prop: Over 3.5 (0)
TV: Watch on ABC/ESPN

Aaron Rodgers Stats (2022)

Pass Comp.	Pass Att.	Comp. %	Pass Yards	Pass TDs	INTs	Pass Yards/Att.	Rush Att.	Rush Yards	Rush TDs
350	542	64.6%	3,695	26	12	6.8	34	94	1

Aaron Rodgers Betting Insights

Rodgers threw for 16.1 fewer yards per game last year (217.4) than the over/under on Monday.
In 17 games last year, he racked up more than 233.5 pass yards six times.
Through the air, Rodgers' passing yards per game average of 217.4 last season was lower than his average prop bet total (244.6) by 27.2 yards.
He went over his passing yards total in 17.6% of his opportunities last season (three of 17 contests).
A season ago, in 16 of 17 games, Aaron Rodgers threw a touchdown pass. And nine of those games included multiple TD passes.

Bills' Defense 2022 Rankings

Stat	AVG (Rank)
Pass Yds/Game Allowed	214.6 (15)
Pass Yds/Attempt Allowed	6 (5)
Rush Yds/Game Allowed	104.6 (5)
Rush Yds/Attempt Allowed	4.3 (11)
Total Yds/Game Allowed	319.1 (6)
Yards/Play Allowed	5.4 (7)
Points/Game Allowed	17.9 (2)

Jets' 2022 Stats

Defensively, the Jets were a top-five unit last season, ranking fourth-best by allowing just 311.1 yards per game. They ranked 25th on offense (318.2 yards per game).
Looking at pace stats, New York was 16th in the league last season, averaging 63 plays per game (1074 total plays).
On defense, the Jets were a top-five unit in terms of passing yards last season, ranking third-best by allowing just 189.4 passing yards per game. They ranked 15th on offense (219 passing yards per game).
The Jets ranked 25th in run offense (99.2 rushing yards per game) and 16th in run defense (121.6 rushing yards allowed per game) last season.
Last season, New York -- one of the most pass-centric teams in the league -- threw 58.4% of the time (fifth in NFL). Meanwhile, it rushed the ball 37.7% of the time (with 3.9% of its offensive plays ending in a sack).
Last season, the Jets put up 5.3 yards per play on offense (25th in the league), while featuring the best yards per play on defense in the NFL (5.1).