Warriors vs. Bucks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 7

The Milwaukee Bucks (16-20) will try to continue a three-game road winning streak at the Golden State Warriors (19-18) on January 7, 2026. The Warriors square off with the Bucks in a game that Golden State is currently a favorite by 6 points. The over/under is 228.5 points for the matchup.

Here's everything you need to know about the Warriors-Bucks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Bucks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: NBCS-BA and FDSWI
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Warriors vs. Bucks Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (- 6)
O/U Pick: Over (228.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 118 - Bucks 111

Warriors vs. Bucks Betting Insights

• The Warriors have played 19 games with over 228.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, this year.
• The Bucks have played in 18 games this season (50% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 228.5 points.
• These teams average a combined 228.1 points per game, 0.4 fewer points than the total of 228.5 set for this matchup.
• The Warriors and the Bucks have seen their opponents average a combined 0.6 more points per game than the point total of 228.5 set in this outing.
• Golden State has come away with 15 wins in the 26 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Milwaukee has come away with six wins in the 19 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• In the last one head-to-head matchups, Milwaukee has a 1-0 record against Golden State.
• The Bucks also have a 1-0 edge against the spread when squaring off against the Warriors.
• The Warriors didn't beat the point spread in their past four games, and were favored in three of them.

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors are 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Golden State and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.7 points in its last 10 games, 1.2 more than the 228.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Warriors are 15-21-1 against the spread this year.
• Golden State is 7-6-1 ATS when favored by 6 points or more this season.
• The Warriors have eclipsed the over/under in 55.6% of their opportunities this year (20 times in 36 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors record 114.8 points per game, just 0.7 fewer points than the 115.5 the Bucks allow.
• When Golden State scores more than 115.5 points, it is 10-9-1 against the spread and 14-6 overall.
• The Warriors are shooting 45.2% from the field this season, 1.4 percentage points lower than the 46.6% the Bucks allow to opponents.
• At home, the Warriors own a better record against the spread (7-8-1) compared to their ATS record in road games (8-13-0).
• Golden State has eclipsed the total in eight of 16 home games (50%). It has done better on the road, eclipsing the total in 12 of 21 matchups (57.1%).
• The Warriors have performed better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, putting up a home record of 10-3, compared to going 5-8 in away games.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III posts 19.7 points, 5.5 boards and 4.9 assists per game, shooting 51.1% from the field.
• Stephen Curry posts 28.7 points, 3.9 boards and 4.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.4 blocks.
• Brandin Podziemski posts 12.1 points, 4.5 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game, shooting 45.5% from the floor and 40.5% from beyond the arc with 1.9 made 3-pointers per game.
• Draymond Green averages 8.4 points, 5.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game, shooting 42.2% from the field and 32.6% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made 3-pointers per game.
• Moses Moody posts 10.6 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 40.5% from the field and 36.4% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made treys per game.

Warriors Player Props

Bucks Recent Trends

• The Bucks are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 games.
• Milwaukee has averaged a total of 226.4 combined points in its last 10 games, 2.1 fewer than this game's total of 228.5.
• Against the spread, the Bucks are 17-19-0 this year.
• Milwaukee has been underdogs by 6 points or more eight times this season and are 5-3 ATS in those matchups.
• The Bucks have hit the over 38.9% of the time this season (14 of 36 games with a set point total).
• The Bucks score an average of 113.3 points per game, only 0.3 fewer points than the 113.6 the Warriors allow.
• Milwaukee is 10-8 against the spread and 13-5 overall when it scores more than 113.6 points.
• The Bucks' 48.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.6 percentage points higher than the Warriors have allowed to their opponents (46.9%).
• This year, the Bucks are 8-10-0 at home against the spread (.444 winning percentage). Away, they are 9-9-0 ATS (.500).
• Milwaukee's games have gone above the over/under more often at home (eight times out of 18) than away (six of 18) this year.
• When moneyline favorites, the Bucks have won a lower percentage of games at home (5-4) than on the road (5-3).

Bucks Recent Stats

Bucks Leaders

• Ryan Rollins is averaging 17.2 points, 4.3 rebounds and 5.8 assists per contest. He's also draining 48.1% of his shots from the field and 42.1% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 triples per contest.
• The Bucks are getting 29.3 points, 10 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game from Giannis Antetokounmpo this season.
• Myles Turner gives the Bucks 12.4 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest while putting up 0.7 steals and 1.6 blocked shots (eighth in NBA).
• Bobby Portis is putting up 13.2 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is draining 49% of his shots from the field and 47.3% from 3-point range (second in NBA), with 1.9 treys per game.
• The Bucks are receiving 12.8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Kyle Kuzma this season.

Bucks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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