Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 17

The Minnesota Timberwolves (17-9) take on the Memphis Grizzlies (12-14) on December 17, 2025. The matchup airs on FDSN, FDSSE, and NBA TV. Wednesday's matchup between the Timberwolves and the Grizzlies features the Timberwolves as healthy 8.5-point favorites. The matchup has a point total of 228.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Timberwolves-Grizzlies game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, December 17, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: FDSN, FDSSE, and NBA TV
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Prediction

ATS Pick: Grizzlies (+ 8.5)
O/U Pick: Over (228.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 120 - Grizzlies 112

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Betting Insights

• This season, the Timberwolves games have gone over 228.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 18 (out of 26) times.
• This year, 12 of the Grizzlies' 26 games have had a combined total higher than 228.5 points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 5.6 more points per game, 234.1, than this game's total of 228.5 points.
• The Timberwolves and the Grizzlies have seen their opponents average a combined 1.4 more points per game than the point total of 228.5 set for this outing.
• Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 21 games this year and has walked away with the win 16 times (76.2%) in those games.
• Memphis has been victorious in four, or 25%, of the 16 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• After the last three head-to-head matchups, Memphis has a 2-1 record against Minnesota.
• The Timberwolves have a 2-1 edge against the spread when matched up with the Grizzlies.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in their past 10 games.
• Minnesota has averaged a total of 230.8 combined points over its last 10 games, 2.3 greater than this matchup's over/under of 228.5.
• The Timberwolves have 10 wins against the spread in 26 games this season.
• Minnesota has an against the spread record of 5-7 in its 12 games as a favorite of 8.5 points or more so far this season.
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over on 13 of 26 set point totals.
• The 119.8 points per game the Timberwolves put up are only 4.4 more points than the Grizzlies give up (115.4).
• Minnesota has a 9-6 record against the spread and a 15-0 record overall when putting up more than 115.4 points.
• The Timberwolves make 48.7% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.7 percentage points higher than the Grizzlies have allowed to their opponents (47.0%).
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in the same percentage of home games as away games (38.5%). They have covered five times in 13 games when playing at home and five times in 13 games on the road.
• Minnesota has gone over the total less often when playing at home, hitting the over in five of 13 home matchups (38.5%). In road games, it has hit the over in eight of 13 games (61.5%).
• When playing at home, the Timberwolves have won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 9-2 (.818). In away games, they are 7-3 (.700) as a moneyline favorite.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle posts 23.1 points, 7.3 boards and 5.8 assists per contest, shooting 49.5% from the field and 35.4% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made treys per contest.
• Anthony Edwards posts 28.7 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game, shooting 50.0% from the floor and 41.6% from downtown with 3.4 made treys per contest (sixth in NBA).
• Rudy Gobert posts 11.5 points, 10.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 74.5% from the field (first in league).
• Naz Reid posts 13.9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, shooting 46.1% from the field and 39.1% from downtown with 2.4 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Jaden McDaniels averages 15.8 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest, shooting 51.5% from the field and 41.8% from downtown with 1.5 made treys per contest.

Timberwolves Player Props

Grizzlies Recent Trends

• The Grizzlies are 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Memphis' average total over the last 10 games is 3.3 points greater than the 228.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• The Grizzlies have played 26 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
• Memphis has been underdogs by 8.5 points or more six times this season and covered the spread once.
• Grizzlies games this season have gone over the point total 34.6% of the time (nine out of 26 games with a set point total).
• The Grizzlies score an average of 114.3 points per game, only 0.2 fewer points than the 114.5 the Timberwolves allow.
• Memphis is 8-5 against the spread and 8-5 overall when it scores more than 114.5 points.
• The Grizzlies have shot at a 45.2% clip from the field this season, 1.1 percentage points less than the 46.3% shooting opponents of the Timberwolves have averaged.
• The Grizzlies' winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .462. They are 6-7-0 ATS on their home court and 6-7-0 on the road.
• In terms of the over/under, Memphis' games have gone over five of 13 times at home (38.5%), and four of 13 away (30.8%).
• The Grizzlies, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (5-2) than on the road (3-0) this year.

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Grizzlies Leaders

• Santi Aldama provides 13.1 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game for the Grizzlies.
• On a per-game basis, Jaren Jackson Jr. gets the Grizzlies 17.4 points, 5.0 rebounds and 2.0 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 1.2 blocked shots.
• Cedric Coward gives the Grizzlies 13.4 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest while posting 0.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• The Grizzlies are receiving 10.7 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Jock Landale this year.
• Jaylen Wells gives the Grizzlies 12.6 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game while putting up 0.7 steals and 0.0 blocked shots.

Grizzlies Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Minnesota Timberwolves

Memphis Grizzlies