Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 23

Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 23

Updated Dec. 23, 2025 9:22 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Oklahoma City Thunder (26-3) visit the San Antonio Spurs (21-7) in a showdown of the top two squads in the Western Conference at Frost Bank Center on December 23, 2025 on FDSOK and FDSSW. Tuesday's matchup between the Thunder and the Spurs features the Thunder as healthy 6.5-point favorites. A 234.5-point over/under has been set for the matchup.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Spurs game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Spurs Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas
  • TV: FDSOK and FDSSW
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Thunder vs Spurs Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Thunder -6.5 -106 -114 234.5 -110 -110 -240 +198

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Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction

ATS Pick: Spurs (+ 6.5)
O/U Pick: Under (234.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 118 - Spurs 114

Thunder vs. Spurs Betting Insights

  • The Thunder and their opponent have combined to score over 234.5 points, the current matchup's total, in 11 of 29 games this season.
  • The Spurs have played in 13 games this year (46.4% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 234.5 points.
  • The two teams average a combined 7.9 more points per game (242.4) than this matchup's total of 234.5 points.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 219.9 points per game, 14.6 fewer than the point total for this game.
  • Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 29 games this season and has come away with the win 26 times (89.7%) in those contests.
  • San Antonio has come away with seven wins in the 10 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
  • San Antonio has a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head meetings with Oklahoma City.
  • The Spurs also hold a 1-0 advantage against the spread when matched up with the Thunder.

Thunder Recent Trends

  • The Thunder have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests.
  • Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 228.4 points over its last 10 games, 6.1 less than the 234.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • In the Thunder's 29 games this season, they have 16 wins against the spread.
  • So far this season, Oklahoma City has been installed as favorites by a 6.5-point margin or more 27 times and are 16-11 ATS in those contests.
  • Thunder games this year have gone over the total in 15 out of 28 opportunities (53.6%).
  • The Thunder put up 8.6 more points per game (122.3) than the Spurs give up (113.7).
  • When Oklahoma City totals more than 113.7 points, it is 16-6 against the spread and 21-1 overall.
  • The Thunder make 49.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.8 percentage points higher than the Spurs have allowed to their opponents (46.4%).
  • The Thunder own a better record against the spread in home games (9-6-0) than they do on the road (7-7-0).
  • Oklahoma City has exceeded the total in a higher percentage of games at home (53.3%) than road tilts (50%).
  • The Thunder have performed better as a moneyline favorite at home, putting up a home record of 14-1, compared to going 12-2 in away games.

Thunder Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 122.3 2
Points Allowed 106.2 1
Rebounds 44.9 12
Assists 25.9 16
Steals 10.6 2
Blocks 5.4 6

Thunder Leaders

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander posts 32.5 points, 6.5 assists and 4.9 boards per game.
  • Chet Holmgren puts up 18.7 points, 1.6 assists and 7.8 rebounds per game.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.6 points, 3.1 assists and 10.6 rebounds per game.
  • Cason Wallace averages 8 points, 2.3 assists and 3 rebounds.
  • Isaiah Joe puts up 12.2 points, 2.9 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 45.7% from the floor and 42.1% from downtown with 2.8 made 3-pointers per game.

Thunder Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 31.5 -122 32.5
Jalen Williams 19.5 -102 18.2
Chet Holmgren 16.5 -120 18.7
Isaiah Hartenstein 9.5 +102 11.6
Cason Wallace 8.5 -102 8

Spurs Recent Trends

  • The Spurs are 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests.
  • San Antonio has averaged a total of 236.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 2.4 greater than this game's total of 234.5.
  • The Spurs have 14 wins against the spread in 28 games this season.
  • San Antonio is 4-0 ATS when underdogs by 6.5 points or more this season.
  • Spurs games this season have eclipsed the over/under 14 times in 28 opportunities (50%).
  • The Spurs score an average of 120.1 points per game, 13.9 more points than the 106.2 the Thunder allow.
  • San Antonio has put together a 14-10-3 ATS record and a 21-6 overall record in games it scores more than 106.2 points.
  • The Spurs have shot at a 48.3% rate from the field this season, 5.7 percentage points above the 42.6% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
  • In 2025-26 against the spread, the Spurs have a better winning percentage at home (.583, 7-3-2 record) than away (.438, 7-8-1).
  • Looking at the over/under, San Antonio's games have gone over less often at home (five of 12, 41.7%) than away (nine of 16, 56.2%).
  • As moneyline favorites, the Spurs have won a higher percentage of games at home (8-2) than away (5-2).

Spurs Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 120.1 6
Points Allowed 113.7 8
Rebounds 46.3 4
Assists 26 14
Steals 8.3 14
Blocks 4.9 14

Spurs Leaders

  • On a per-game basis, Victor Wembanyama gives the Spurs 24.4 points, 12.3 rebounds and 3.7 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 3.3 blocked shots.
  • The Spurs are getting 15.7 points, 4 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Devin Vassell this season.
  • The Spurs are getting 22.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game from De'Aaron Fox this season.
  • Stephon Castle gives the Spurs 18.3 points, 5.6 rebounds and 7.2 assists per contest while averaging 1.3 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
  • Keldon Johnson gives the Spurs 12.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest while putting up 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

Spurs Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
De'Aaron Fox 18.5 -118 22.4
Victor Wembanyama 17.5 -115 24.4
Stephon Castle 15.5 -118 18.3
Devin Vassell 12.5 -125 15.7
Harrison Barnes 10.5 -106 12.6

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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