Rockets vs. Warriors Game 5 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 30

The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors are doing battle in the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, with a decisive Game 5 up next. Wednesday's game between the Rockets and the Warriors features the Rockets as 4-point favorites. The over/under for the game is 204.

Here's everything you need to know about the Rockets-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV:

Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 4)
O/U Pick: Over (204)
Score Prediction: Rockets 113 - Warriors 110

Rockets vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• The Rockets have played 65 games with more than 204 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, this year.
• A total of 68 Warriors games this season (out of 82) have gone over 204 total points scored.
• The Rockets and the Warriors combine to average 24.1 more points per game than the over/under of 204 set for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 16.3 more points per game (220.3) than this game's total of 204 points.
• Houston has come away with 41 wins in the 53 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Golden State has been an underdog in 26 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (46.2%) in those contests.
• Golden State has a 6-3 record in the last nine head-to-head matchups with Houston.
• The Warriors also have a 6-3 record against the spread when taking on the Rockets.
• The Rockets have failed to cover in three straight games against the point spread, and they were the favorites in zero of those contests.

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Houston's average total over the last 10 games is 14.7 points more than the 204 over/under listed for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Rockets are 42-39-1 this season.
• Houston has been favored by 4 points or more 43 times this season and are 21-22 ATS in those games.
• Rockets games this year have hit the over 46 times in 82 opportunities (56.1%).
• The Rockets put up only 3.8 more points per game (114.3) than the Warriors give up (110.5).
• Houston has a 32-17 record against the spread and a 37-12 record overall when scoring more than 110.5 points.
• This season, the Rockets have a 45.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is one% lower than the 46.5% of shots the Warriors' opponents have knocked down.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 20 times in 41 games at home, and they've covered 22 times in 41 games when playing on the road.
• When it comes to over/unders, Houston hits the over less often at home, as it has eclipsed the total 21 times in 41 opportunities this season (51.2%). On the road, it has hit the over 25 times in 41 opportunities (61%).
• The Rockets have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 25-8 (.758). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 16-4 (.800).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun puts up 19.1 points, 10.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest, shooting 49.6% from the field.
• Jalen Green averages 21 points, 4.6 boards and 3.4 assists per game, shooting 42.3% from the field and 35.4% from downtown with 2.9 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Amen Thompson posts 14.1 points, 8.2 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 55.7% from the field.
• Fred VanVleet averages 14.1 points, 5.6 assists and 3.7 rebounds.
• Dillon Brooks posts 14 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 42.9% from the field and 39.7% from beyond the arc with 2.5 made treys per game.

Rockets Player Props

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 games.
• Golden State's average total over the last 10 games is 17.0 points greater than the 204 total listed for this matchup.
• In the Warriors' 82 games this season, they have 41 wins against the spread.
• Golden State has an against the spread record of 10-4 in its 14 games when underdogs by 4 points or more this season.
• Warriors games this season have gone over the total in 42 of 82 opportunities (51.2%).
• The Warriors' 113.8 points per game are only four more points than the 109.8 the Rockets allow.
• Golden State has put together a 33-18 ATS record and a 39-12 overall record in games it scores more than 109.8 points.
• The Warriors have shot at a 45.1% rate from the field this season, 0.8 percentage points fewer than the 45.9% shooting opponents of the Rockets have averaged.
• Against the spread, the Warriors have had better results away (23-17-1) than at home (18-23-0) .
• Golden State's games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (20 times out of 41) than away (22 of 41) this year.
• When moneyline favorites, the Warriors have won a lower percentage of games at home (18-11) than on the road (17-8).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry is averaging 24.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6 assists per contest. He's also sinking 44.8% of his shots from the floor and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 4.4 triples per contest (first in league).
• On a per-game basis, Jimmy Butler gets the Warriors 17.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Draymond Green gets the Warriors 9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game while averaging 1.5 steals (ninth in league) and 1 block.
• Brandin Podziemski gets the Warriors 11.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game while delivering 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Buddy Hield gets the Warriors 11.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest while putting up 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Warriors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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