Heat vs. Raptors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 23

The Miami Heat (15-14) take on the Toronto Raptors (17-13) on December 23, 2025 on FDSSUN, SportsNet, and WPLG. Miami is a 5.5-point favorite against Toronto when the Heat hit the court against the Raptors on Tuesday. A 227.5-point total has been set for the matchup.

Check out everything you need to know about the Heat-Raptors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Raptors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN, SportsNet, and WPLG
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Raptors Prediction

ATS Pick: Raptors (+ 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (227.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 118 - Raptors 114

Heat vs. Raptors Betting Insights

• This year, the Heat games have finished over 227.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 19 (out of 29) times.
• The Raptors games have gone over 227.5 total points scored in 16 of 30 total matchups this year.
• These two teams average a combined 233.7 points per game, 6.2 more points than the over/under of 227.5 set for this game.
• The Heat and the Raptors have seen their opponents average a combined 2.6 more points per game than the over/under of 227.5 set in this game.
• Miami has won eight, or 61.5%, of the 13 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Toronto has been chosen as underdogs in 11 games this year and has walked away with the win five times (45.5%) in those games.
• After the last one head-to-head matchups, Toronto has a 1-0 record against Miami.
• The Raptors have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when squaring off against the Heat.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat are 4-6 against the spread and 2-8 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Miami and its opponents have combined to score an average of 236.5 points in its last 10 games, nine more than the 227.5 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Heat are 16-12-1 this year.
• Miami has an against the spread record of 5-5 in its 10 games when favored by 5.5 points or more so far this season.
• Heat games this year have hit the over on 15 of 30 set point totals.
• The 120.2 points per game the Heat score are 7.9 more points than the Raptors give up (112.3).
• Miami is 13-5 against the spread and 11-7 overall when scoring more than 112.3 points.
• The Heat make 47.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.9 percentage points higher than the Raptors have allowed to their opponents (46.4%).
• The Heat have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered eight times in 14 opportunities at home, and they've covered eight times in 15 opportunities in away games.
• Miami has eclipsed the over/under less often at home, hitting the over in six of 14 home matchups (42.9%). In away games, it has hit the over in nine of 15 games (60%).
• The Heat have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 7-4 (.636). In road games as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 1-1 (.500).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Kel'el Ware averages 12.5 points, 10.7 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 1.4 blocks (ninth in NBA).
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. posts 15.7 points, 5.6 boards and 4.8 assists per contest, shooting 51.6% from the floor.
• Bam Adebayo averages 18.3 points, 9.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.9 blocks.
• Norman Powell posts 24 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, shooting 48.3% from the floor and 41.5% from beyond the arc with 3 made 3-pointers per game.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 15.9 points, 4.8 boards and 2.9 assists per game, shooting 46.8% from the field and 38.8% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made treys per contest.

Heat Player Props

Raptors Recent Trends

• The Raptors have covered the spread twice, and are 3-7 overall, over their last 10 games.
• Toronto and its opponents have combined to score an average of 226.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 1.4 less than the 227.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Raptors have 13 wins against the spread in 30 games this year.
• Toronto has an against the spread record of 3-4 in its seven games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more this year.
• Raptors games this season have hit the over on 11 of 30 set point totals (36.7%).
• The Raptors score an average of 113.5 points per game, only 4.3 fewer points than the 117.8 the Heat give up to opponents.
• Toronto has put together a 7-6 ATS record and a 9-4 overall record in games it scores more than 117.8 points.
• The Raptors have shot at a 47.9% clip from the field this season, 2.8 percentage points above the 45.1% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Raptors have a lower winning percentage at home (.267, 4-11-0 record) than on the road (.600, 9-6-0).
• Toronto's games have gone above the over/under more often at home (six times out of 15) than on the road (five of 15) this year.
• The Raptors, when moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (8-4) than away (4-3) this year.

Raptors Recent Stats

Raptors Leaders

• Scottie Barnes is putting up 19.1 points, 8 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest. He's also draining 49.8% of his shots from the floor and 36.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 triples per game.
• Brandon Ingram is putting up 22 points, 5.8 rebounds and 3.9 assists per contest. He's draining 47.4% of his shots from the field and 37% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 treys per game.
• Immanuel Quickley gets the Raptors 15.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game while posting 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Sandro Mamukelashvili gives the Raptors 10.3 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game while posting 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Jamal Shead is averaging 6.3 points, 1.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game. He is sinking 35.5% of his shots from the floor and 32.3% from 3-point range, with 1 triples per game.

Raptors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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