Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 25

The Denver Nuggets (31-15) will attempt to build on a six-game road winning streak at the Memphis Grizzlies (18-25) on January 25, 2026. Sunday's matchup between the Grizzlies and the Nuggets features the Grizzlies as 5.5-point favorites. The game has an over/under of 221.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Grizzlies-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, January 25, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET
• Where: FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee
• TV: ALT2, FDSSE, and WMC-TV
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (+ 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (221.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 118 - Grizzlies 117

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

• This season, the Grizzlies games have finished over 221.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 31 (out of 43) times.
• This year, 33 of the Nuggets' 46 games have had a combined total higher than 221.5 points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 14.7 more points per game (236.2) than this matchup's over/under of 221.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 11.3 more points per game (232.8) than this matchup's total of 221.5 points.
• Memphis has been the favorite in 17 games this season and has come away with the win 11 times (64.7%) in those contests.
• Denver has been an underdog in 14 games this season and has come away with the win eight times (57.1%) in those contests.
• Denver has won its lone head-to-head matchup against Memphis.
• The Nuggets also hold a 1-0 advantage against the spread when taking on the Grizzlies.

Grizzlies Recent Trends

• The Grizzlies have a 3-6-1 record against the spread while finishing 3-7 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Memphis has averaged a total of 233.8 combined points in its last 10 games, 12.3 greater than this game's total of 221.5.
• In the Grizzlies' 43 games this year, they have 18 wins against the spread.
• Memphis has covered the spread once this season when favored by 5.5 points or more (in six chances).
• Grizzlies games this year have hit the over on 19 of 46 set point totals.
• The Grizzlies put up 115.5 points per game, just 0.7 fewer points than the 116.2 the Nuggets give up.
• Memphis is 10-9 against the spread and 10-9 overall when scoring more than 116.2 points.
• The Grizzlies make 45.6% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.2 percentage points lower than the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents (46.8%).
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 10 times in 23 opportunities at home, and they've covered eight times in 20 opportunities on the road.
• Looking at point totals, Memphis hits the over more often when playing at home, as it has gone over the total 12 times in 23 opportunities this season (52.2%). On the road, it has hit the over seven times in 20 opportunities (35%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Grizzlies have won a lower percentage of their games at home (.583) compared to road games (.800).

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Grizzlies Leaders

• Jaren Jackson Jr. averages 18.9 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 47.9% from the floor and 36.3% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Cedric Coward averages 14.0 points, 6.4 boards and 2.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocks.
• Cam Spencer puts up 12.0 points, 2.7 rebounds and 5.5 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the field and 46.4% from downtown (fourth in NBA) with 2.3 made 3-pointers per game.
• Jock Landale averages 11.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• Jaylen Wells averages 11.9 points, 1.7 assists and 3.5 boards.

Grizzlies Player Props

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their last 10 games.
• Denver has averaged a total of 226.4 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.9 greater than this game's total of 221.5.
• In the Nuggets' 46 games this season, they have 27 wins against the spread.
• Denver has always covered the spread this season when underdogs by 5.5 points or more in five chances.
• Nuggets games this season have hit the over 58.7% of the time (27 out of 46 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets average just 4.1 more points per game (120.7) than the Grizzlies allow their opponents to score (116.6).
• Denver is 20-12 against the spread and 24-8 overall when it scores more than 116.6 points.
• The Nuggets have shot at a 49.6% clip from the field this season, 3.4 percentage points higher than the 46.2% shooting opponents of the Grizzlies have averaged.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Nuggets have a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 10-10-0 record) than away (.654, 17-9-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Denver's games have gone over 11 of 20 times at home (55%), and 16 of 26 away (61.5%).
• The Nuggets' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .714 (10-4), and on the road it is .722 (13-5).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Jamal Murray is averaging 26.0 points, 4.3 rebounds and 7.3 assists per contest. He's also draining 49.0% of his shots from the field and 44.8% from beyond the arc (ninth in NBA), with 3.4 triples per game (sixth in league).
• Peyton Watson is putting up 14.5 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. He's making 50.8% of his shots from the floor and 42.1% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per contest.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. gets the Nuggets 13.7 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest while delivering 0.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Bruce Brown gives the Nuggets 7.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest while delivering 1.0 steal and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Jonas Valanciunas is putting up 8.7 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is sinking 58.5% of his shots from the field.

Nuggets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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