Celtics vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 15

The Boston Celtics (24-15) take on the Miami Heat (21-19) on January 15, 2026. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS. Thursday's matchup between the Celtics and the Heat features the Celtics as close 2-point favorites. The game's point total is 233.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, January 15, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Celtics vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 2)
O/U Pick: Under (233.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 117 - Heat 116

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights

• Of 39 games so far this season, the Celtics have had 12 with more than 233.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
• The Heat games have gone over 233.5 total points scored in 24 of 40 total matchups this season.
• These two teams average a combined 236.2 points per game, 2.7 more points than the total of 233.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 227.9 points per game, 5.6 fewer than the point total for this matchup.
• Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 26 games this year and has walked away with the win 17 times (65.4%) in those games.
• Miami has been victorious in 10, or 45.5%, of the 22 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Boston has come out on top in its lone head-to-head meeting with Miami.
• The Celtics also have a 1-0 record against the spread when taking on the Heat.
• Against the spread, the Celtics have not covered for four games in a row, and they were the favorites in three of them.

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Boston's average total over the last 10 games is 3.8 points fewer than the 233.5 total given for this matchup.
• The Celtics have played 39 games, with 21 wins against the spread.
• Boston has been favored by 2 points or more 23 times this season and are 13-10 ATS in those games.
• Celtics games this year have hit the over on 17 of 40 set point totals.
• The Celtics score only 1.2 fewer points per game (116.6) than the Heat allow (117.8).
• When Boston scores more than 117.8 points, it is 14-2 against the spread and 16-0 overall.
• This season, the Celtics have a 47.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.4% higher than the 45.9% of shots the Heat's opponents have hit.
• Against the spread, the Celtics have played worse at home, covering nine times in 19 home games, and 12 times in 20 road games.
• Boston has hit the over on the total in a higher percentage of home games (47.4%) than road tilts (40%).
• The Celtics have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 9-5 (.643). In away games as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 8-4 (.667).

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jaylen Brown posts 29.5 points, 6.4 rebounds and 5 assists per contest, shooting 49.5% from the field and 37.6% from beyond the arc with 2.2 made treys per contest.
• Derrick White posts 18.6 points, 4.4 boards and 5.2 assists per contest, shooting 39.7% from the field and 33.1% from downtown with 3.2 made treys per contest (10th in NBA).
• Payton Pritchard averages 17 points, 4.5 boards and 5.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Neemias Queta averages 10.1 points, 1.4 assists and 8.2 rebounds.
• Anfernee Simons averages 13.5 points, 2.3 boards and 2.5 assists per game. Defensively he averages 0.4 steals and 0.1 blocks.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have gone 6-4 over their last 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span.
• Miami has averaged a total of 238.5 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.0 greater than this matchup's total of 233.5.
• The Heat have 23 wins against the spread in 40 games this year.
• Miami has been underdogs by 2 points or more 20 times this season and are 13-6-1 ATS in those matchups.
• Heat games this season have gone over the total in 20 of 40 opportunities (50%).
• The Heat score an average of 119.6 points per game, 9.5 more points than the 110.1 the Celtics give up to opponents.
• Miami has put together a 20-8 ATS record and a 17-11 overall record in games it scores more than 110.1 points.
• The Heat have shot at a 47% rate from the field this season, two percentage points greater than the 45% shooting opponents of the Celtics have averaged.
• The Heat have performed better against the spread at home (12-8-0) than on the road (11-8-1) this year.
• Both at home (10 of 20) and away (10 of 20), Miami's games have gone over (in terms of the over/under) 50% of the time.
• This year the Heat are 10-5 at home when moneyline favorites (.667 winning percentage). On the road they are 1-2 (.333).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Norman Powell is putting up 23.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game. He's also sinking 48.5% of his shots from the floor and 41.4% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 triples per contest.
• The Heat are getting 11.9 points, 10.1 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game from Kel'el Ware this season.
• The Heat are receiving 16.8 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Bam Adebayo this season.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. gives the Heat 15.9 points, 5.1 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game while putting up 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Andrew Wiggins gives the Heat 15.8 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest while averaging 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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