Celtics vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 15

The Boston Celtics (24-15) face the Miami Heat (21-19) on January 15, 2026. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS. Thursday's game between the Celtics and the Heat features the Celtics as 2.5-point favorites. The matchup's point total is 234.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, January 15, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Celtics vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 2.5)
O/U Pick: Under (234.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 117 - Heat 116

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights

• Out of 39 games so far this year, the Celtics have played 10 with more than 234.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
• The Heat games have gone over 234.5 total points scored in 22 of 40 total matchups this year.
• These teams average 236.2 points per game combined, 1.7 more than the total of 234.5.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 227.9 points per game, 6.6 fewer than the over/under for this game.
• Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 26 games this year and has walked away with the win 17 times (65.4%) in those games.
• Miami has come away with 10 wins in the 22 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• After the last one head-to-head matchups, Boston has a 1-0 record against Miami.
• The Celtics have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when playing the Heat.
• The Celtics have failed to cover for four games in a row against the point spread, and they were the favorites in three of those games.

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Boston's average total over the last 10 games is 4.8 points fewer than the 234.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• The Celtics have 21 wins against the spread in 39 games this year.
• This season, Boston has an against the spread record of 13-10 in its 23 games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more.
• Celtics games this year have gone over the point total 42.5% of the time (17 out of 40 games with a set point total).
• The 116.6 points per game the Celtics put up are just 1.2 fewer points than the Heat give up (117.8).
• Boston is 14-2 against the spread and 16-0 overall when scoring more than 117.8 points.
• This season, the Celtics have a 47.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.4% higher than the 45.9% of shots the Heat's opponents have made.
• The Celtics own a worse record against the spread when playing at home (9-10-0) than they do on the road (12-7-1).
• Boston has gone over the total more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in nine of 19 home matchups (47.4%). In away games, it has hit the over in eight of 20 games (40%).
• The Celtics have fared worse as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 9-5, compared to going 8-4 in away games.

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jaylen Brown puts up 29.5 points, 5 assists and 6.4 rebounds per game.
• Derrick White posts 18.6 points, 4.4 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 1.5 blocks (seventh in NBA).
• Payton Pritchard posts 17 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Neemias Queta puts up 10.1 points, 8.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.2 blocks.
• Anfernee Simons posts 13.5 points, 2.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. Defensively he averages 0.4 steals and 0.1 blocks.

Celtics Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat are 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Miami has averaged a total of 238.5 combined points in its last 10 games, four greater than this game's total of 234.5.
• In the Heat's 40 games this year, they have 23 wins against the spread.
• This season, Miami has an against-the-spread record of 11-6-1 in its 18 games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
• Heat games this year have eclipsed the over/under 50% of the time (20 out of 40 games with a set point total).
• The Heat's 119.6 points per game are 9.5 more points than the 110.1 the Celtics allow.
• Miami has put together a 20-8 ATS record and a 17-11 overall record in games it scores more than 110.1 points.
• The Heat have shot at a 47% clip from the field this season, two percentage points higher than the 45% shooting opponents of the Celtics have averaged.
• This year, the Heat are 12-8-0 at home against the spread (.600 winning percentage). Away, they are 11-8-1 ATS (.550).
• In terms of the over/under, Miami's games have gone over 50% of the time this season, both at home (10 of 20) and away (10 of 20).
• The Heat, when moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (10-5) than away (1-2) this year.

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Norman Powell gives the Heat 23.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Kel'el Ware is putting up 11.9 points, 10.1 rebounds and 0.6 assists per contest. He's making 54.8% of his shots from the floor and 42.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 triples per game.
• Bam Adebayo gets the Heat 16.8 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest while posting 1 steal and 0.8 blocked shots.
• The Heat are getting 15.8 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from Andrew Wiggins this year.
• Dru Smith gives the Heat 6.3 points, 2.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest while delivering 1.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.