
Cavaliers vs. Pacers Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 11
Updated May. 11, 2025 3:23 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
In Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, the Cleveland Cavaliers will take on the Indiana Pacers. Sunday's matchup between the Cavaliers and the Pacers features the Cavaliers as 5.5-point favorites. The game's point total is 231.
Here's everything you need to know to know about the Cavaliers-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Cavaliers vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
- TV: TNT, truTV, and MAX
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | -5.5 | -112 | -108 | 231 | -110 | -110 | -225 | +185 |
Cavaliers vs. Pacers Prediction
ATS Pick: Pacers (+ 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (231)
Score Prediction: Cavaliers 119 - Pacers 114
Cavaliers vs. Pacers Betting Insights
- Cavaliers games have finished over 231 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 48 times (out of 82) this year.
- The Pacers have played in 49 games this season (59.8% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 231 points.
- These two teams average 239.3 points per game combined, 8.3 more than the total of 231.
- Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 227.5 points per game, 3.5 fewer than the over/under for this game.
- Cleveland has been the favorite in 74 games this season and has come away with the win 60 times (81.1%) in those contests.
- Indiana has come away with 14 wins in the 31 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
- After the last seven head-to-head meetings, Indiana has a 5-2 record against Cleveland.
- The Pacers also hold a 4-3 advantage against the spread when facing off with the Cavaliers.
Cavaliers Recent Trends
- The Cavaliers are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
- Cleveland and its opponents have combined to score an average of 222.8 points over its last 10 games, 8.2 less than the 231 over/under in this matchup.
- Against the spread, the Cavaliers are 49-33-0 this year.
- Cleveland has an against the spread record of 33-25 in its 58 games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more so far this season.
- Cavaliers games this year have hit the over 49 times in 82 opportunities (59.8%).
- The 121.9 points per game the Cavaliers put up are 6.8 more points than the Pacers allow (115.1).
- When Cleveland totals more than 115.1 points, it is 39-17 against the spread and 48-8 overall.
- This season, the Cavaliers have a 49.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.7% higher than the 47.4% of shots the Pacers' opponents have made.
- Against the spread, the Cavaliers have fared worse when playing at home, covering 23 times in 41 home games, and 26 times in 41 road games.
- Cleveland has gone over the total more often when playing at home, hitting the over in 25 of 41 home matchups (61%). In away games, it has hit the over in 24 of 41 games (58.5%).
- The Cavaliers have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 34-6 (.850). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 26-8 (.765).
Cavaliers Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 121.9 | 1 |
| Points Allowed | 112.4 | 12 |
| Rebounds | 45.4 | 5 |
| Assists | 28.1 | 9 |
| Steals | 8.2 | 12 |
| Blocks | 4.3 | 26 |
Cavaliers Leaders
- Donovan Mitchell averages 24 points, 5 assists and 4.5 boards per contest.
- Evan Mobley posts 18.5 points, 9.3 boards and 3.2 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 1.6 blocks (fourth in NBA).
- Darius Garland averages 20.6 points, 2.9 boards and 6.7 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocks.
- Jarrett Allen puts up 13.5 points, 9.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocks.
- De'Andre Hunter puts up 17 points, 4 boards and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 47% from the floor and 40.5% from beyond the arc with 2.5 made treys per contest.
Cavaliers Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG (Reg. Season) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell | 30.5 | -125 | 24.0 |
| Evan Mobley | 17.5 | -120 | 18.5 |
| Darius Garland | 15.5 | -110 | 20.6 |
| Jarrett Allen | 13.5 | -120 | 13.5 |
| Max Strus | 10.5 | -120 | 9.4 |
Pacers Recent Trends
- The Pacers have gone 7-3 in their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
- Indiana and its opponents have combined to score an average of 226.5 combined points in its last 10 games, 4.5 less than the 231 over/under in this matchup.
- Against the spread, the Pacers are 38-43-1 this season.
- Indiana has been underdogs by 5.5 points or more 13 times this year and are 7-6 ATS in those contests.
- Pacers games this year have gone over the total in 44 of 82 opportunities (53.7%).
- The Pacers score five more points per game (117.4) than the Cavaliers give up to opponents (112.4).
- When it scores more than 112.4 points, Indiana is 33-23-1 against the spread and 39-18 overall.
- The Pacers have shot at a 48.8% clip from the field this season, 3.4 percentage points above the 45.4% shooting opponents of the Cavaliers have averaged.
- The Pacers' winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .463. They are 19-21-1 ATS on their home court and 19-22-0 on the road.
- Indiana's games have gone above the over/under 53.7% of the time both at home (22 of 41) and on the road (22 of 41) this year.
- The Pacers, when moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (25-6) than on the road (10-9) this season.
Pacers Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 117.4 | 7 |
| Points Allowed | 115.1 | 17 |
| Rebounds | 41.8 | 27 |
| Assists | 29.2 | 3 |
| Steals | 8.5 | 8 |
| Blocks | 5.5 | 4 |
Pacers Leaders
- Tyrese Haliburton is putting up 18.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 9.2 assists per contest. He's also sinking 47.3% of his shots from the floor and 38.8% from beyond the arc, with 3 triples per game.
- Pascal Siakam is putting up 20.2 points, 6.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest. He's draining 51.9% of his shots from the floor and 38.9% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per game.
- Myles Turner is putting up 15.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He is making 48.1% of his shots from the field and 39.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 triples per contest.
- The Pacers are getting 16.1 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Bennedict Mathurin this year.
- T.J. McConnell gives the Pacers 9.1 points, 2.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest while putting up 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
Pacers Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG (Reg. Season) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 18.5 | -110 | 20.2 |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 17.5 | -120 | 18.6 |
| Myles Turner | 15.5 | -115 | 15.6 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 12.5 | -120 | 12.0 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 12.5 | -125 | 10.0 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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