Cavaliers vs. Pacers Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 11

Cavaliers vs. Pacers Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 11

Updated May. 11, 2025 3:23 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

In Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, the Cleveland Cavaliers will take on the Indiana Pacers. Sunday's matchup between the Cavaliers and the Pacers features the Cavaliers as 5.5-point favorites. The game's point total is 231.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Cavaliers-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Cavaliers vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
  • TV: TNT, truTV, and MAX
Cavaliers vs Pacers Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Cavaliers -5.5 -112 -108 231 -110 -110 -225 +185

Cavaliers vs. Pacers Prediction

ATS Pick: Pacers (+ 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (231)
Score Prediction: Cavaliers 119 - Pacers 114

Cavaliers vs. Pacers Betting Insights

  • Cavaliers games have finished over 231 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 48 times (out of 82) this year.
  • The Pacers have played in 49 games this season (59.8% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 231 points.
  • These two teams average 239.3 points per game combined, 8.3 more than the total of 231.
  • Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 227.5 points per game, 3.5 fewer than the over/under for this game.
  • Cleveland has been the favorite in 74 games this season and has come away with the win 60 times (81.1%) in those contests.
  • Indiana has come away with 14 wins in the 31 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
  • After the last seven head-to-head meetings, Indiana has a 5-2 record against Cleveland.
  • The Pacers also hold a 4-3 advantage against the spread when facing off with the Cavaliers.

Cavaliers Recent Trends

  • The Cavaliers are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have combined to score an average of 222.8 points over its last 10 games, 8.2 less than the 231 over/under in this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Cavaliers are 49-33-0 this year.
  • Cleveland has an against the spread record of 33-25 in its 58 games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more so far this season.
  • Cavaliers games this year have hit the over 49 times in 82 opportunities (59.8%).
  • The 121.9 points per game the Cavaliers put up are 6.8 more points than the Pacers allow (115.1).
  • When Cleveland totals more than 115.1 points, it is 39-17 against the spread and 48-8 overall.
  • This season, the Cavaliers have a 49.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.7% higher than the 47.4% of shots the Pacers' opponents have made.
  • Against the spread, the Cavaliers have fared worse when playing at home, covering 23 times in 41 home games, and 26 times in 41 road games.
  • Cleveland has gone over the total more often when playing at home, hitting the over in 25 of 41 home matchups (61%). In away games, it has hit the over in 24 of 41 games (58.5%).
  • The Cavaliers have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 34-6 (.850). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 26-8 (.765).

Cavaliers Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 121.9 1
Points Allowed 112.4 12
Rebounds 45.4 5
Assists 28.1 9
Steals 8.2 12
Blocks 4.3 26

Cavaliers Leaders

  • Donovan Mitchell averages 24 points, 5 assists and 4.5 boards per contest.
  • Evan Mobley posts 18.5 points, 9.3 boards and 3.2 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 1.6 blocks (fourth in NBA).
  • Darius Garland averages 20.6 points, 2.9 boards and 6.7 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocks.
  • Jarrett Allen puts up 13.5 points, 9.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocks.
  • De'Andre Hunter puts up 17 points, 4 boards and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 47% from the floor and 40.5% from beyond the arc with 2.5 made treys per contest.

Cavaliers Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season)
Donovan Mitchell 30.5 -125 24.0
Evan Mobley 17.5 -120 18.5
Darius Garland 15.5 -110 20.6
Jarrett Allen 13.5 -120 13.5
Max Strus 10.5 -120 9.4

Pacers Recent Trends

  • The Pacers have gone 7-3 in their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
  • Indiana and its opponents have combined to score an average of 226.5 combined points in its last 10 games, 4.5 less than the 231 over/under in this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Pacers are 38-43-1 this season.
  • Indiana has been underdogs by 5.5 points or more 13 times this year and are 7-6 ATS in those contests.
  • Pacers games this year have gone over the total in 44 of 82 opportunities (53.7%).
  • The Pacers score five more points per game (117.4) than the Cavaliers give up to opponents (112.4).
  • When it scores more than 112.4 points, Indiana is 33-23-1 against the spread and 39-18 overall.
  • The Pacers have shot at a 48.8% clip from the field this season, 3.4 percentage points above the 45.4% shooting opponents of the Cavaliers have averaged.
  • The Pacers' winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .463. They are 19-21-1 ATS on their home court and 19-22-0 on the road.
  • Indiana's games have gone above the over/under 53.7% of the time both at home (22 of 41) and on the road (22 of 41) this year.
  • The Pacers, when moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (25-6) than on the road (10-9) this season.

Pacers Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 117.4 7
Points Allowed 115.1 17
Rebounds 41.8 27
Assists 29.2 3
Steals 8.5 8
Blocks 5.5 4

Pacers Leaders

  • Tyrese Haliburton is putting up 18.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 9.2 assists per contest. He's also sinking 47.3% of his shots from the floor and 38.8% from beyond the arc, with 3 triples per game.
  • Pascal Siakam is putting up 20.2 points, 6.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest. He's draining 51.9% of his shots from the floor and 38.9% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per game.
  • Myles Turner is putting up 15.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He is making 48.1% of his shots from the field and 39.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 triples per contest.
  • The Pacers are getting 16.1 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Bennedict Mathurin this year.
  • T.J. McConnell gives the Pacers 9.1 points, 2.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest while putting up 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Pacers Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season)
Pascal Siakam 18.5 -110 20.2
Tyrese Haliburton 17.5 -120 18.6
Myles Turner 15.5 -115 15.6
Aaron Nesmith 12.5 -120 12.0
Andrew Nembhard 12.5 -125 10.0

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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