Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 21

The Milwaukee Bucks (18-24) battle the Oklahoma City Thunder (36-8) on January 21, 2026. The matchup airs on ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK. The Bucks and the Thunder hit the court in a game with no line set.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Bucks-Thunder game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Bucks vs. Thunder Game Information and TV Channel

• When: Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• TV: ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (+ )
O/U Pick: Under ()
Score Prediction: Thunder 120 - Bucks 108

Bucks Recent Trends

• The Bucks are 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their last 10 games.
• In the Bucks' 42 games this season, they have 19 wins against the spread.
• Bucks games this year have hit the over on 16 of 44 set point totals.
• The Bucks average 112.4 points per game, just 4.4 more points than the 108.0 the Thunder give up.
• Milwaukee has a 16-11 record against the spread and a 17-10 record overall when putting up more than 108.0 points.
• The Bucks are shooting 48.3% from the field this season, 5.3 percentage points higher than the 43.0% the Thunder allow to opponents.
• The Bucks own a worse record against the spread at home (8-11-0) than they do in away games (11-12-0).
• In home games, Milwaukee eclipses the total 47.4% of the time (nine of 19 games). It has hit the over in 30.4% of road games (seven of 23 contests).
• The Bucks have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 5-5 (.500). In away games as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 5-4 (.556).

Bucks Recent Stats

Bucks Leaders

• Giannis Antetokounmpo puts up 28.5 points, 5.5 assists and 9.8 rebounds per contest.
• Ryan Rollins posts 16.2 points, 5.5 assists and 4.5 boards per game.
• Myles Turner averages 12.2 points, 5.3 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 42.1% from the floor and 39.0% from beyond the arc with 2.2 made 3-pointers per game.
• Bobby Portis posts 13.1 points, 6.4 boards and 1.3 assists per game, shooting 49.2% from the floor and 47.4% from beyond the arc (first in NBA) with 2.0 made 3-pointers per game.
• Kyle Kuzma posts 12.6 points, 4.5 boards and 2.2 assists per game, shooting 50.0% from the floor.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
• In the Thunder's 44 games this year, they have 22 wins against the spread.
• Thunder games this season have gone over the point total 23 times in 44 opportunities (52.3%).
• The Thunder's 121.4 points per game are 5.8 more points than the 115.6 the Bucks allow to opponents.
• Oklahoma City is 20-11 against the spread and 29-2 overall when it scores more than 115.6 points.
• The Thunder have shot at a 49.1% clip from the field this season, 2.4 percentage points greater than the 46.7% shooting opponents of the Bucks have averaged.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Thunder have a better winning percentage at home (.522, 12-11-0 record) than away (.476, 10-11-0).
• Oklahoma City's games have finished above the over/under less often at home (12 times out of 23) than on the road (11 of 21) this season.
• The Thunder's winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .870 (20-3), and away it is .762 (16-5).

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. He's also draining 54.8% of his shots from the field and 39.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 triples per contest.
• The Thunder are getting 18.0 points, 8.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Chet Holmgren this season.
• Ajay Mitchell gives the Thunder 14.0 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest while averaging 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Cason Wallace gets the Thunder 7.3 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game while putting up 2.0 steals (third in NBA) and 0.2 blocked shots.
• The Thunder are getting 11.2 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game from Isaiah Hartenstein this season.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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