Yankees vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 14

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees will see Seth Lugo on the mound for the Kansas City Royals on Monday at 7:05 p.m. ET. The Royals are +119 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Yankees (-141). New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +139 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for this game (with -106 odds on the over and -114 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, April 14, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, YES, and FDSKC

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 58%, Royals 42%

Yankees vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 13 times and won eight, or 61.5%, of those games.
• New York is 6-3 this season when entering a game favored by -141 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 58.5%.
• The Royals have been underdogs in seven games this season and have come away with the win two times (28.6%) in those contests.
• This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have assigned Kansas City this season with a +119 moneyline set for this game.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 5-4 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
• The Yankees' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Judge is the bat to watch in the Yankees lineup, leading the team in batting average (.357), home runs (6), and RBI (20).
• Judge's home runs put him first in MLB, and he is first in RBI.
• Judge carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .438 with a double, five walks and two RBI.
• Ben Rice has two doubles, a triple, four home runs and nine walks while hitting .298.
• Rice is 20th in home runs and 114th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Rice heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .250 with two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
• Anthony Volpe has three doubles, four home runs and eight walks while hitting .226.
• Trent Grisham is hitting .344 with a double, three home runs and three walks.

Yankees Team Props

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 1-3.
• The Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Royals have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .305.
• Witt's home run total places him 122nd in the big leagues, and he is 114th in RBI.
• Witt brings a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .353 with four doubles, a home run, six walks and three RBI.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with two home runs and 11 runs batted in.
• Pasquantino ranks 74th in home runs and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Maikel Garcia leads the Royals with two long balls.
• Jonathan India has three doubles and nine walks while hitting .208.

Royals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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