Yankees vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 3

Updated Jul. 3, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

Andrew Abbott takes the mound for the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday at Yankee Stadium against Juan Soto and the New York Yankees. First pitch is at 7:05 PM ET. The Yankees have been listed as -189 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Reds (+156). New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the contest (with -122 odds on the over and +102 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Reds vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the New York Yankees on Tuesday, July 2.

Yankees vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
How to Watch on TV: Amazon Prime Video

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees	-189	+156	8.5	-122	+102	-1.5	+108	-128

Yankees vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Reds 4
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Yankees 56%, Reds 44%

Yankees vs. Reds Betting Insights

The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 65 times this season and won 40, or 61.5%, of those games.
This season New York has won eight of its 12 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -189 on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 65.4% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
The Reds have been victorious in 19, or 39.6%, of the 48 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, Cincinnati has won four of six games when listed as at least +156 or worse on the moneyline.
The Reds have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees have a 1-6 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total nine times.
The Yankees' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	11
ERA	6.49
K/9	8.7

Yankees Player Insights

Not only does Aaron Judge lead the Yankees in hitting with his .321 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with 32 home runs and 83 RBI.
Of all hitters in baseball, Judge is first in homers and first in RBI.
Judge carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .500 with two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
Soto is batting .300 with 12 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 72 walks.
Soto ranks seventh in home runs and sixth in RBI on the year.
Alex Verdugo is batting .241 with 17 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 28 walks.
Anthony Volpe is hitting .257 with 14 doubles, seven triples, six home runs and 26 walks.

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 3-3 in those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Reds and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Reds have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	6
ERA	4.50
K/9	7.9

Reds Player Insights

Elly De La Cruz paces the Reds with 15 home runs.
De La Cruz's home run total places him 23rd in MLB, and he is 70th in RBI.
Spencer Steer has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 51 runs batted in.
Steer is 79th in home runs and 22nd in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
Jonathan India leads the Reds with a team-high batting average of .275.
Jeimer Candelario is batting .243 with 17 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 19 walks.