Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 3

Ryan Yarbrough gets the start for the New York Yankees on Saturday against Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays. First pitch is at 1:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. The favored Yankees have -211 moneyline odds against the underdog Rays, who are listed at +175. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -108 odds). The game's total is set at 9.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 1:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, YES, and FDSSUN

Yankees vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Rays 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 66%, Rays 34%

Yankees vs. Rays Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 25 times and won 17, or 68%, of those games.
• New York has played as favorites of -211 or more twice this season and won both games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.8% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 12 games this year and have walked away with the win five times (41.7%) in those games.
• Tampa Bay has played as an underdog of +175 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 36.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 5-3 record across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.
• The Yankees have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge has a team-high batting average of .430, and paces the Yankees in home runs (10) and runs batted in (32).
• In all of MLB, Judge is second in homers and first in RBI.
• Judge has collected a hit in 12 straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .513 with three doubles, two triples, three home runs, six walks and seven RBI.
• Paul Goldschmidt has eight doubles, three home runs and nine walks while batting .361.
• Goldschmidt is 120th in home runs and 62nd in RBI on the year.
• Goldschmidt heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two home runs and six RBI.
• Ben Rice is batting .265 with five doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 13 walks.
• Anthony Volpe is hitting .239 with 10 doubles, five home runs and 15 walks.
• Volpe is riding a seven-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is hitting .297 with five doubles, a home run, five walks and four RBI.

Yankees Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Rays have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Diaz is hitting .248 with eight doubles, four home runs and nine walks.
• Diaz's home run total places him 82nd in the majors, and he ranks 95th in RBI.
• Jonathan Aranda has a club-high .298 batting average.
• Aranda is currently 82nd in home runs and 95th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Junior Caminero has six home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Kameron Misner is batting .305 with seven doubles, a triple, three home runs and six walks.

Rays Team Props

Rays vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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